Thu, Jan 1 2026 • 15:00 •
Bill Stokeld Stadium
Expected Goals
1.87 (league 1.55)
1.37 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 48.0% | 22.5% | 27.9% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.0%
2 - 1
9.4%
1 - 0
7.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Long Eaton United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Carlton Town | 0 | 3.9% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 7.3% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.8% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Carlton Town | Long Eaton United |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 73% |
| Attack | 65% | 82% |
| Defense | 65% | 82% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 14 | 2.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
89%
FT probability
2.5+
62%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Carlton Town | Long Eaton United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 12 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| Wins | 70% | 75% | 73% | 58% | 33% | 46% |
| Draws | 10% | 17% | 14% | 17% | 33% | 25% |
| Loses | 20% | 8% | 14% | 25% | 33% | 29% |
Form: Carlton Town: WWWLDWLWWDWWWWLWWWWWWD • Long Eaton United: LWWDDWLLLLWWDLWWWLDDWDWW
League goals
| Metric | Carlton Town | Long Eaton United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 25 | 42 | 20 | 24 | 44 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 9 | 15 | 24 | 12 | 20 | 32 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Carlton Town | Long Eaton United | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 82% | 77% | 79% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 64% | 23% | 50% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 36% | 5% | 33% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 5% | 8% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 0% | 4% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Carlton Town | Long Eaton United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Carlton Town | Long Eaton United |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Carlton Town | Long Eaton United |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 6 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 0-3 | 4-1 | 0-7 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 4-0 | 0-4 | 5-3 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Carlton Town | Long Eaton United |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 54% | 46% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 60% | 40% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 64% | 36% |
| Total | 55.8% | 44.2% |
Advice: Double chance : Carlton Town or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Carlton Town = 1.87 (league 1.55), Long Eaton United = 1.37 (league 1.31)
| Long Eaton United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Carlton Town | 0 | 3.9% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 7.3% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.8% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.0% · Draw 22.5% · Away win 27.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1