Tue, Jan 27 2026 • 15:00 •
Grange Park
Expected Goals
1.24 (league 1.51)
0.97 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 42.2% | 28.8% | 28.8% |
best score tips
1 - 0
13.7%
1 - 1
13.2%
0 - 0
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Rugby Borough | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Long Eaton United | 0 | 11.1% | 10.7% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.7% | 13.2% | 6.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.5% | 8.2% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Long Eaton United | Rugby Borough |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 20% |
| Attack | 100% | 60% |
| Defense | 70% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 14 | 2.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
77%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Long Eaton United | Rugby Borough | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 12 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| Wins | 58% | 33% | 46% | 17% | 42% | 29% |
| Draws | 17% | 33% | 25% | 33% | 42% | 38% |
| Loses | 25% | 33% | 29% | 50% | 17% | 33% |
Form: Long Eaton United: LWWDDWLLLLWWDLWWWLDDWDWW • Rugby Borough: WDWDWLDDWLDDWLDLDDWLLLWL
League goals
| Metric | Long Eaton United | Rugby Borough | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 20 | 24 | 44 | 14 | 16 | 30 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 12 | 20 | 32 | 19 | 13 | 32 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Long Eaton United | Rugby Borough | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 79% | 71% | 79% | 88% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 38% | 25% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 13% | 17% | 8% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 8% | 4% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 4% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Long Eaton United | Rugby Borough | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Long Eaton United | Rugby Borough |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Long Eaton United | Rugby Borough |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-7 | 4-2 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 5-3 | 1-3 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Long Eaton United | Rugby Borough |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 79% | 21% |
| Att | 70% | 30% |
| Def | 77% | 23% |
| Poisson Distribution | 56% | 44% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 63.7% | 36.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Long Eaton United or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Long Eaton United = 1.24 (league 1.51), Rugby Borough = 0.97 (league 1.35)
| Rugby Borough | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Long Eaton United | 0 | 11.1% | 10.7% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.7% | 13.2% | 6.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.5% | 8.2% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.2% · Draw 28.8% · Away win 28.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1