Sat, Jan 24 2026 • 15:00 •
Grange Park
Expected Goals
1.98 (league 1.55)
1.07 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 57.0% | 21.5% | 19.8% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.0%
2 - 1
9.9%
1 - 0
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
| AFC Rushden & Diamonds | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Long Eaton United | 0 | 4.8% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 9.4% | 10.0% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.3% | 9.9% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.2% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Long Eaton United | AFC Rushden & Diamonds |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 60% |
| Attack | 100% | 89% |
| Defense | 78% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 15 | 3 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
84%
FT probability
2.5+
59%
FT probability
3.5+
42%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Long Eaton United | AFC Rushden & Diamonds | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 13 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 25 |
| Wins | 58% | 38% | 48% | 50% | 31% | 40% |
| Draws | 17% | 31% | 24% | 25% | 23% | 24% |
| Loses | 25% | 31% | 28% | 25% | 46% | 36% |
Form: Long Eaton United: LWWDDWLLLLWWDLWWWLDDWDWWW • AFC Rushden & Diamonds: DDWLLLWWLWDLLWLDDWWDLWLWW
League goals
| Metric | Long Eaton United | AFC Rushden & Diamonds | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 20 | 26 | 46 | 15 | 18 | 33 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 12 | 20 | 32 | 11 | 24 | 35 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Long Eaton United | AFC Rushden & Diamonds | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 68% | 72% | 64% |
| 1.5 | 52% | 36% | 40% | 36% |
| 2.5 | 32% | 12% | 16% | 28% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 8% | 4% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 4% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Long Eaton United | AFC Rushden & Diamonds | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Long Eaton United | AFC Rushden & Diamonds |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Long Eaton United | AFC Rushden & Diamonds |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-7 | 4-2 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 5-3 | 1-3 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 5 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Long Eaton United | AFC Rushden & Diamonds |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 59% | 41% |
| Att | 65% | 35% |
| Def | 75% | 25% |
| Poisson Distribution | 68% | 32% |
| H2h | 33% | 67% |
| Goals | 43% | 57% |
| Total | 57.2% | 42.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Long Eaton United or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Long Eaton United = 1.98 (league 1.55), AFC Rushden & Diamonds = 1.07 (league 1.31)
| AFC Rushden & Diamonds | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Long Eaton United | 0 | 4.8% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 9.4% | 10.0% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.3% | 9.9% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.2% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.0% · Draw 21.5% · Away win 19.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1