Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 15:00 •
Grange Park
Expected Goals
1.17 (league 1.51)
0.89 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 42.0% | 29.9% | 27.9% |
best score tips
1 - 0
14.9%
1 - 1
13.3%
0 - 0
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Lichfield City | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Long Eaton United | 0 | 12.8% | 11.4% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.9% | 13.3% | 5.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.7% | 7.7% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Long Eaton United | Lichfield City |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 33% |
| Attack | 60% | 30% |
| Defense | 0% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 14 | 2.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
77%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Long Eaton United | Lichfield City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 16 | 14 | 30 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
| Wins | 50% | 36% | 43% | 38% | 31% | 34% |
| Draws | 13% | 21% | 17% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Loses | 38% | 43% | 40% | 38% | 44% | 41% |
Form: Long Eaton United: LWWDDWLLLLWWDLWWWLDDWWWWLWLLLL • Lichfield City: LWDWWDLWDWLDWLWWLWDDWLLLLLLWLDDL
League goals
| Metric | Long Eaton United | Lichfield City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 26 | 27 | 53 | 19 | 12 | 31 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 24 | 26 | 50 | 24 | 17 | 41 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Long Eaton United | Lichfield City | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 77% | 66% | 69% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 47% | 25% | 31% |
| 2.5 | 30% | 20% | 6% | 16% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 17% | 0% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 7% | 0% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Long Eaton United | Lichfield City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | Long Eaton United | Lichfield City |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Long Eaton United | Lichfield City |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 6 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-7 | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 4-1 | 1-6 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 7 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Long Eaton United | Lichfield City |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 63% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 26% | 74% |
| Poisson Distribution | 59% | 41% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 47.5% | 52.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Lichfield City
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Long Eaton United = 1.17 (league 1.51), Lichfield City = 0.89 (league 1.35)
| Lichfield City | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Long Eaton United | 0 | 12.8% | 11.4% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.9% | 13.3% | 5.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.7% | 7.7% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.0% · Draw 29.9% · Away win 27.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1