Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 15:00 •
Grange Park
Expected Goals
1.69 (league 1.51)
1.14 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 49.3% | 24.1% | 25.7% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.4%
1 - 0
10.0%
2 - 1
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Rugby Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Long Eaton United | 0 | 5.9% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 10.0% | 11.4% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 8.4% | 9.6% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Long Eaton United | Rugby Town |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 7% |
| Attack | 36% | 27% |
| Defense | 0% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 13 | 2.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
85%
FT probability
2.5+
60%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Long Eaton United | Rugby Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 17 | 15 | 32 | 17 | 16 | 33 |
| Wins | 47% | 33% | 41% | 29% | 19% | 24% |
| Draws | 18% | 27% | 22% | 6% | 25% | 15% |
| Loses | 35% | 40% | 38% | 65% | 56% | 61% |
Form: Long Eaton United: LWWDDWLLLLWWDLWWWLDDWWWWLWLLLLDD • Rugby Town: LWLLLDWLLWDWWWLLDLLLWLLLDWLLLLLDL
League goals
| Metric | Long Eaton United | Rugby Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 26 | 28 | 54 | 19 | 17 | 36 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 24 | 27 | 51 | 31 | 27 | 58 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Long Eaton United | Rugby Town | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 78% | 75% | 70% | 82% |
| 1.5 | 47% | 44% | 30% | 58% |
| 2.5 | 28% | 19% | 9% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 16% | 0% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 6% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Long Eaton United | Rugby Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | Long Eaton United | Rugby Town |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Long Eaton United | Rugby Town |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-7 | 3-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 4-1 | 1-4 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 7 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Long Eaton United | Rugby Town |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 52% | 48% |
| Poisson Distribution | 62% | 38% |
| H2h | 88% | 13% |
| Goals | 64% | 36% |
| Total | 65.0% | 35.2% |
Advice: Double chance : Long Eaton United or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Long Eaton United = 1.69 (league 1.51), Rugby Town = 1.14 (league 1.35)
| Rugby Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Long Eaton United | 0 | 5.9% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 10.0% | 11.4% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 8.4% | 9.6% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.3% · Draw 24.1% · Away win 25.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1