Tue, Sep 30 2025 • 18:45 •
Sun Hat Villas & Resorts Stadium
Expected Goals
2.28 (league 1.32)
3.09 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 25.6% | 16.6% | 45.9% |
best score tips
2 - 3
5.9%
2 - 2
5.8%
1 - 3
5.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Dunston UTS | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lincoln United | 0 | 0.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| 1 | 1.1% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | |
| 2 | 1.2% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.8% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Lincoln United | Dunston UTS |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 47% |
| Attack | 29% | 43% |
| Defense | 14% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
94%
FT probability
2.5+
66%
FT probability
3.5+
47%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Lincoln United | Dunston UTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Wins | 33% | 0% | 14% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Draws | 33% | 25% | 29% | 25% | 0% | 17% |
| Loses | 33% | 75% | 57% | 25% | 50% | 33% |
Form: Lincoln United: LWDDLLL • Dunston UTS: WWWLLD
League goals
| Metric | Lincoln United | Dunston UTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 8 | 7 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| GA avg | 2.7 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Lincoln United | Dunston UTS | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 57% | 100% | 83% | 33% |
| 1.5 | 29% | 71% | 33% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 29% | 0% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 14% | 0% | 17% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Lincoln United | Dunston UTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Lincoln United | Dunston UTS |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Lincoln United | Dunston UTS |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | — | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 3-0 | 1-4 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Lincoln United | Dunston UTS |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 22% | 78% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 37% | 63% |
| Poisson Distribution | 36% | 64% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 43% | 57% |
| Total | 38.0% | 62.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Dunston UTS
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Lincoln United = 2.28 (league 1.32), Dunston UTS = 3.09 (league 1.31)
| Dunston UTS | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lincoln United | 0 | 0.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| 1 | 1.1% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | |
| 2 | 1.2% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.8% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.6% · Draw 16.6% · Away win 45.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1