Tue, Oct 7 2025 • 18:45 •
The Staxson Stadium
Expected Goals
2.72 (league 1.93)
0.34 (league 1.47)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 81.2% | 10.1% | 2.9% |
best score tips
2 - 0
17.3%
3 - 0
15.7%
1 - 0
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Ashford United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sittingbourne | 0 | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.7% | 4.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.3% | 5.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 15.7% | 5.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 10.7% | 3.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 5.8% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sittingbourne | Ashford United |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 27% |
| Attack | 46% | 54% |
| Defense | 46% | 23% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
93%
FT probability
2.5+
65%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
85%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sittingbourne | Ashford United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| Wins | 50% | 25% | 38% | 20% | 0% | 14% |
| Draws | 50% | 50% | 50% | 40% | 0% | 29% |
| Loses | 0% | 25% | 13% | 40% | 100% | 57% |
Form: Sittingbourne: WWWLDDDD • Ashford United: LDLDWLL
League goals
| Metric | Sittingbourne | Ashford United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 7 | 13 | 8 | 1 | 9 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 4 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 3.5 | 2.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sittingbourne | Ashford United | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 71% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 25% | 43% | 71% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 0% | 14% | 43% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 14% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sittingbourne | Ashford United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sittingbourne | Ashford United |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sittingbourne | Ashford United |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-3 | 2-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | 1-2 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sittingbourne | Ashford United |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 46% | 54% |
| Def | 59% | 41% |
| Poisson Distribution | 89% | 11% |
| H2h | 85% | 15% |
| Goals | 77% | 23% |
| Total | 67.7% | 32.3% |
Advice: Winner : Sittingbourne
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Sittingbourne = 2.72 (league 1.93), Ashford United = 0.34 (league 1.47)
| Ashford United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sittingbourne | 0 | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.7% | 4.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.3% | 5.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 15.7% | 5.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 10.7% | 3.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 5.8% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 81.2% · Draw 10.1% · Away win 2.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1