Tue, Nov 25 2025 • 18:45 •
The Staxson Stadium
Expected Goals
1.83 (league 1.97)
1.66 (league 1.52)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 41.2% | 22.2% | 34.8% |
best score tips
1 - 1
9.3%
2 - 1
8.5%
1 - 2
7.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Ashford United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sittingbourne | 0 | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 5.6% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 5.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 3.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sittingbourne | Ashford United |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 47% |
| Attack | 33% | 57% |
| Defense | 67% | 43% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 12 | 2.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
69%
FT probability
3.5+
49%
FT probability
BTTS
81%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sittingbourne | Ashford United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 9 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 17 |
| Wins | 57% | 33% | 44% | 22% | 38% | 29% |
| Draws | 29% | 22% | 25% | 33% | 0% | 18% |
| Loses | 14% | 44% | 31% | 44% | 63% | 53% |
Form: Sittingbourne: WWWLDDDDWWLWLLLW • Ashford United: LDLDWLLWLWLLDLWLW
League goals
| Metric | Sittingbourne | Ashford United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 11 | 25 | 19 | 14 | 33 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 10 | 10 | 20 | 20 | 14 | 34 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sittingbourne | Ashford United | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 88% | 81% | 76% | 94% |
| 1.5 | 44% | 31% | 53% | 65% |
| 2.5 | 19% | 13% | 29% | 29% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 0% | 18% | 12% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 12% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sittingbourne | Ashford United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sittingbourne | Ashford United |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sittingbourne | Ashford United |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 4 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-3 | 5-2 | 0-6 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 2-1 | 2-4 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sittingbourne | Ashford United |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 46% | 54% |
| Att | 37% | 63% |
| Def | 63% | 37% |
| Poisson Distribution | 52% | 48% |
| H2h | 85% | 15% |
| Goals | 77% | 23% |
| Total | 60.0% | 40.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Sittingbourne or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Sittingbourne = 1.83 (league 1.97), Ashford United = 1.66 (league 1.52)
| Ashford United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sittingbourne | 0 | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 5.6% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 5.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 3.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.2% · Draw 22.2% · Away win 34.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1