Tue, Oct 21 2025 • 18:45 •
The Hybrid Fitness Stadium
Expected Goals
2.28 (league 1.93)
1.47 (league 1.47)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 52.9% | 19.9% | 24.0% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.0%
1 - 1
7.9%
3 - 1
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Ashford United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Merstham | 0 | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 5.3% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.1% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 2.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Merstham | Ashford United |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 40% |
| Attack | 82% | 100% |
| Defense | 45% | 45% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 12 | 2.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
73%
FT probability
3.5+
52%
FT probability
BTTS
80%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Merstham | Ashford United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 6 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| Wins | 50% | 33% | 42% | 33% | 25% | 30% |
| Draws | 50% | 17% | 33% | 33% | 0% | 20% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 25% | 33% | 75% | 50% |
Form: Merstham: WLWDDDWLDLWW • Ashford United: LDLDWLLWLW
League goals
| Metric | Merstham | Ashford United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 11 | 24 | 13 | 7 | 20 |
| GF avg | 2.2 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 7 | 10 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 19 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 1.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Merstham | Ashford United | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 92% | 92% | 70% | 90% |
| 1.5 | 58% | 50% | 50% | 60% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 0% | 30% | 30% |
| 3.5 | 17% | 0% | 20% | 10% |
| 4.5 | 8% | 0% | 20% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Merstham | Ashford United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Merstham | Ashford United |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Merstham | Ashford United |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-2 | 1-4 | 5-2 | 0-6 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | 1-2 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Merstham | Ashford United |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 54% | 46% |
| Att | 43% | 57% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 62% | 38% |
| H2h | 64% | 36% |
| Goals | 58% | 42% |
| Total | 55.2% | 44.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Merstham or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Merstham = 2.28 (league 1.93), Ashford United = 1.47 (league 1.47)
| Ashford United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Merstham | 0 | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 5.3% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.1% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 2.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.9% · Draw 19.9% · Away win 24.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1