Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 14:00 •
The Saffrons Football Ground
Expected Goals
1.87 (league 1.93)
1.70 (league 1.47)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 41.1% | 22.0% | 34.9% |
best score tips
1 - 1
9.0%
2 - 1
8.4%
1 - 2
7.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Merstham | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Eastbourne Town | 0 | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 5.3% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 4.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 3.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Eastbourne Town | Merstham |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 60% |
| Attack | 47% | 63% |
| Defense | 68% | 58% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 12 | 2.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
71%
FT probability
3.5+
51%
FT probability
BTTS
91%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Eastbourne Town | Merstham | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Wins | 67% | 25% | 43% | 33% | 50% | 43% |
| Draws | 33% | 0% | 14% | 67% | 25% | 43% |
| Loses | 0% | 75% | 43% | 0% | 25% | 14% |
Form: Eastbourne Town: LLDLWWW • Merstham: WLWDDDW
League goals
| Metric | Eastbourne Town | Merstham | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 15 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2.5 | 2.1 |
| GA total | 3 | 10 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 11 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Eastbourne Town | Merstham | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 43% | 43% | 71% | 57% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 14% | 29% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 14% | 14% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 14% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Eastbourne Town | Merstham | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Eastbourne Town | Merstham |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Eastbourne Town | Merstham |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-2 | 2-1 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | — | 5-0 | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 5 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Eastbourne Town | Merstham |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Att | 43% | 57% |
| Def | 57% | 43% |
| Poisson Distribution | 52% | 48% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 52.5% | 47.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Eastbourne Town or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Eastbourne Town = 1.87 (league 1.93), Merstham = 1.70 (league 1.47)
| Merstham | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Eastbourne Town | 0 | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 5.3% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 4.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 3.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.1% · Draw 22.0% · Away win 34.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1