Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 14:00 •
The Hybrid Fitness Stadium
Expected Goals
1.15 (league 1.93)
2.04 (league 1.47)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 20.7% | 21.2% | 56.2% |
best score tips
1 - 2
9.9%
1 - 1
9.7%
0 - 2
8.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Three Bridges | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Merstham | 0 | 4.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| 1 | 4.7% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 1.4% | |
| 2 | 2.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Merstham | Three Bridges |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 80% |
| Attack | 56% | 100% |
| Defense | 56% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 17 | 3.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
75%
FT probability
3.5+
54%
FT probability
BTTS
92%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Merstham | Three Bridges | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 33% | 40% | 38% | 100% | 67% | 86% |
| Draws | 67% | 20% | 38% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 40% | 25% | 0% | 33% | 14% |
Form: Merstham: WLWDDDWL • Three Bridges: WWLWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Merstham | Three Bridges | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 10 | 15 | 19 | 7 | 26 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 4.8 | 2.3 | 3.7 |
| GA total | 4 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Merstham | Three Bridges | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 88% | 100% | 100% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 63% | 50% | 86% | 43% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 0% | 71% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 13% | 0% | 57% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 29% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Merstham | Three Bridges | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Merstham | Three Bridges |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Merstham | Three Bridges |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-4 | 7-1 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Merstham | Three Bridges |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 35% | 65% |
| Def | 53% | 47% |
| Poisson Distribution | 36% | 64% |
| H2h | 91% | 9% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 51.3% | 48.7% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Three Bridges and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Merstham = 1.15 (league 1.93), Three Bridges = 2.04 (league 1.47)
| Three Bridges | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Merstham | 0 | 4.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| 1 | 4.7% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 1.4% | |
| 2 | 2.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.7% · Draw 21.2% · Away win 56.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1