Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 14:00 •
Winch's Field
Expected Goals
1.78 (league 1.98)
2.59 (league 1.54)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 25.0% | 18.4% | 50.8% |
best score tips
1 - 2
7.6%
2 - 2
6.7%
1 - 3
6.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Merstham | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Herne Bay | 0 | 1.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| 1 | 2.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.2% | |
| 2 | 2.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.0% | |
| 3 | 1.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Herne Bay | Merstham |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 40% |
| Attack | 38% | 38% |
| Defense | 48% | 71% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
74%
FT probability
3.5+
53%
FT probability
BTTS
83%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Herne Bay | Merstham | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| Wins | 60% | 25% | 44% | 25% | 40% | 33% |
| Draws | 0% | 25% | 11% | 75% | 20% | 44% |
| Loses | 40% | 50% | 44% | 0% | 40% | 22% |
Form: Herne Bay: LWDWLLWLW • Merstham: WLWDDDWLD
League goals
| Metric | Herne Bay | Merstham | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 5 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 16 |
| GF avg | 2.2 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 10 | 7 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 13 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Herne Bay | Merstham | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 78% | 78% | 89% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 56% | 67% | 56% | 44% |
| 2.5 | 22% | 33% | 22% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 22% | 11% | 11% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Herne Bay | Merstham | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Herne Bay | Merstham |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Herne Bay | Merstham |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-2 | 1-2 | 2-1 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 3-1 | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Herne Bay | Merstham |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 35% | 65% |
| Poisson Distribution | 40% | 60% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 64% | 36% |
| Total | 50.2% | 49.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Herne Bay or draw and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Herne Bay = 1.78 (league 1.98), Merstham = 2.59 (league 1.54)
| Merstham | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Herne Bay | 0 | 1.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| 1 | 2.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.2% | |
| 2 | 2.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.0% | |
| 3 | 1.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.0% · Draw 18.4% · Away win 50.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1