Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 14:00 •
The Homelands
Expected Goals
1.46 (league 1.97)
1.66 (league 1.52)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 33.5% | 23.6% | 41.8% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.7%
1 - 2
8.9%
2 - 1
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
| VCD Athletic | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ashford United | 0 | 4.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 6.4% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 4.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ashford United | VCD Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 47% |
| Attack | 33% | 33% |
| Defense | 52% | 62% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
94%
FT probability
2.5+
66%
FT probability
3.5+
47%
FT probability
BTTS
85%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ashford United | VCD Athletic | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| Wins | 20% | 0% | 14% | 33% | 20% | 25% |
| Draws | 40% | 0% | 29% | 67% | 40% | 50% |
| Loses | 40% | 100% | 57% | 0% | 40% | 25% |
Form: Ashford United: LDLDWLL • VCD Athletic: DDDWLLWD
League goals
| Metric | Ashford United | VCD Athletic | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 11 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 9 | 7 | 16 | 3 | 9 | 12 |
| GA avg | 1.8 | 3.5 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ashford United | VCD Athletic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 100% | 88% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 43% | 71% | 38% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 43% | 13% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 14% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ashford United | VCD Athletic | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ashford United | VCD Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ashford United | VCD Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | — | 2-1 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 4-0 | — | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ashford United | VCD Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 36% | 64% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 46% | 54% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 58% | 42% |
| Total | 47.3% | 52.7% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or VCD Athletic
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Ashford United = 1.46 (league 1.97), VCD Athletic = 1.66 (league 1.52)
| VCD Athletic | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ashford United | 0 | 4.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 6.4% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 4.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.5% · Draw 23.6% · Away win 41.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1