Tue, Oct 14 2025 • 18:45 •
Bayliss Avenue
Expected Goals
1.58 (league 1.93)
1.09 (league 1.47)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 48.0% | 25.1% | 26.2% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.9%
1 - 0
11.0%
2 - 1
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Sheppey United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Erith Town | 0 | 7.0% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.0% | 11.9% | 6.5% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.6% | 9.4% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.5% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Erith Town | Sheppey United |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 47% |
| Attack | 12% | 23% |
| Defense | 65% | 62% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
69%
FT probability
3.5+
49%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Erith Town | Sheppey United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| Wins | 0% | 17% | 9% | 67% | 0% | 40% |
| Draws | 40% | 33% | 36% | 0% | 25% | 10% |
| Loses | 60% | 50% | 55% | 33% | 75% | 50% |
Form: Erith Town: DLLLDWDDLLL • Sheppey United: WLWLLLWLDW
League goals
| Metric | Erith Town | Sheppey United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 4 | 15 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 8 | 10 | 18 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 3.8 | 2.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Erith Town | Sheppey United | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 64% | 82% | 80% | 90% |
| 1.5 | 18% | 64% | 50% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 9% | 18% | 10% | 50% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 0% | 10% | 30% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 10% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Erith Town | Sheppey United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Erith Town | Sheppey United |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Erith Town | Sheppey United |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-4 | 4-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-0 | 1-4 | 7-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Erith Town | Sheppey United |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 22% | 78% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 53% | 47% |
| Poisson Distribution | 58% | 42% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 55% | 45% |
| Total | 45.2% | 54.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Sheppey United
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Erith Town = 1.58 (league 1.93), Sheppey United = 1.09 (league 1.47)
| Sheppey United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Erith Town | 0 | 7.0% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.0% | 11.9% | 6.5% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.6% | 9.4% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.5% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.0% · Draw 25.1% · Away win 26.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1