Tue, Oct 14 2025 • 18:45 •
The Hybrid Fitness Stadium
Expected Goals
1.87 (league 1.93)
1.24 (league 1.47)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 50.8% | 22.6% | 25.2% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.4%
2 - 1
9.7%
1 - 0
8.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Sevenoaks Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Merstham | 0 | 4.5% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 8.4% | 10.4% | 6.4% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.8% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 4.8% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Merstham | Sevenoaks Town |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 20% |
| Attack | 31% | 35% |
| Defense | 73% | 42% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 15 | 3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
68%
FT probability
3.5+
48%
FT probability
BTTS
81%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Merstham | Sevenoaks Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Wins | 25% | 33% | 30% | 50% | 20% | 36% |
| Draws | 75% | 17% | 40% | 0% | 20% | 9% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 30% | 50% | 60% | 55% |
Form: Merstham: WLWDDDWLDL • Sevenoaks Town: LDWWWLLLLLW
League goals
| Metric | Merstham | Sevenoaks Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 11 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 18 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 5 | 10 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 23 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 2.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Merstham | Sevenoaks Town | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 90% | 100% | 73% | 73% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 50% | 55% | 73% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 0% | 27% | 36% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 0% | 9% | 27% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Merstham | Sevenoaks Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Merstham | Sevenoaks Town |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Merstham | Sevenoaks Town |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-4 | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | 1-4 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Merstham | Sevenoaks Town |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 63% | 38% |
| Att | 47% | 53% |
| Def | 68% | 32% |
| Poisson Distribution | 60% | 40% |
| H2h | 75% | 25% |
| Goals | 68% | 32% |
| Total | 63.5% | 36.7% |
Advice: Double chance : Merstham or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Merstham = 1.87 (league 1.93), Sevenoaks Town = 1.24 (league 1.47)
| Sevenoaks Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Merstham | 0 | 4.5% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 8.4% | 10.4% | 6.4% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.8% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 4.8% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.8% · Draw 22.6% · Away win 25.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1