Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 14:00 •
The Hybrid Fitness Stadium
Expected Goals
2.28 (league 1.93)
1.34 (league 1.47)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 55.8% | 19.7% | 21.4% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.3%
1 - 1
8.2%
3 - 1
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Hastings United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Merstham | 0 | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 6.1% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.0% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 5.3% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 3.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Merstham | Hastings United |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 20% |
| Attack | 73% | 40% |
| Defense | 53% | 40% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
92%
FT probability
2.5+
65%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
81%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Merstham | Hastings United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 6 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 40% | 33% | 36% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Draws | 60% | 17% | 36% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 27% | 60% | 60% | 60% |
Form: Merstham: WLWDDDWLDLW • Hastings United: DWLDLLWLLL
League goals
| Metric | Merstham | Hastings United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 11 | 22 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
| GF avg | 2.2 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 7 | 10 | 17 | 4 | 10 | 14 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Merstham | Hastings United | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 91% | 100% | 60% | 70% |
| 1.5 | 55% | 55% | 30% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 27% | 0% | 10% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 18% | 0% | 0% | 10% |
| 4.5 | 9% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Merstham | Hastings United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Merstham | Hastings United |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Merstham | Hastings United |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-2 | 1-4 | 2-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | 1-2 | 4-2 |
| Goals For | 5 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Merstham | Hastings United |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 70% | 30% |
| Att | 65% | 35% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 62% | 38% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 63.3% | 36.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Merstham or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Merstham = 2.28 (league 1.93), Hastings United = 1.34 (league 1.47)
| Hastings United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Merstham | 0 | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 6.1% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.0% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 5.3% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 3.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.8% · Draw 19.7% · Away win 21.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1