Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 14:00 •
The Oakwood
Expected Goals
0.86 (league 1.98)
1.52 (league 1.54)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 21.2% | 26.0% | 52.3% |
best score tips
0 - 1
14.1%
1 - 1
12.1%
0 - 2
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Merstham | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| VCD Athletic | 0 | 9.3% | 14.1% | 10.7% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 8.0% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 3.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | VCD Athletic | Merstham |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 47% |
| Attack | 64% | 82% |
| Defense | 0% | 45% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
89%
FT probability
2.5+
63%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
85%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | VCD Athletic | Merstham | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 7 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| Wins | 25% | 14% | 18% | 50% | 33% | 42% |
| Draws | 50% | 29% | 36% | 50% | 17% | 33% |
| Loses | 25% | 57% | 45% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
Form: VCD Athletic: DDDWLLWDLLL • Merstham: WLWDDDWLDLWW
League goals
| Metric | VCD Athletic | Merstham | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 10 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 24 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 5 | 17 | 22 | 7 | 10 | 17 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | VCD Athletic | Merstham | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 82% | 100% | 92% | 92% |
| 1.5 | 36% | 64% | 58% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 9% | 18% | 25% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 9% | 17% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 9% | 8% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | VCD Athletic | Merstham | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | VCD Athletic | Merstham |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | VCD Athletic | Merstham |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 2-3 | 5-2 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 5-2 | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 5 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | VCD Athletic | Merstham |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 36% | 64% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 32% | 68% |
| Poisson Distribution | 36% | 64% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 37.0% | 63.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Merstham
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): VCD Athletic = 0.86 (league 1.98), Merstham = 1.52 (league 1.54)
| Merstham | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| VCD Athletic | 0 | 9.3% | 14.1% | 10.7% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 8.0% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 3.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.2% · Draw 26.0% · Away win 52.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1