Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 14:00 •
The Homelands
Expected Goals
1.89 (league 1.98)
1.40 (league 1.54)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 47.7% | 22.4% | 28.3% |
best score tips
1 - 1
9.9%
2 - 1
9.3%
1 - 0
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Erith Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ashford United | 0 | 3.7% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 7.0% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.7% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ashford United | Erith Town |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 27% |
| Attack | 100% | 45% |
| Defense | 45% | 9% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
67%
FT probability
3.5+
48%
FT probability
BTTS
78%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ashford United | Erith Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| Wins | 33% | 25% | 30% | 14% | 17% | 15% |
| Draws | 33% | 0% | 20% | 43% | 33% | 38% |
| Loses | 33% | 75% | 50% | 43% | 50% | 46% |
Form: Ashford United: LDLDWLLWLW • Erith Town: DLLLDWDDLLLWD
League goals
| Metric | Ashford United | Erith Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 7 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| GF avg | 2.2 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 11 | 8 | 19 | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| GA avg | 1.8 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ashford United | Erith Town | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 70% | 90% | 69% | 85% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 60% | 23% | 54% |
| 2.5 | 30% | 30% | 8% | 15% |
| 3.5 | 20% | 10% | 8% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ashford United | Erith Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ashford United | Erith Town |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ashford United | Erith Town |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-2 | 0-6 | 2-1 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 4-0 | 0-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 6 | 2 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ashford United | Erith Town |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 71% | 29% |
| Def | 63% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 57% | 43% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 65.2% | 35.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Ashford United or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Ashford United = 1.89 (league 1.98), Erith Town = 1.40 (league 1.54)
| Erith Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ashford United | 0 | 3.7% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 7.0% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.7% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.7% · Draw 22.4% · Away win 28.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1