Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 15:00 •
The Homelands
Expected Goals
1.46 (league 1.96)
2.34 (league 1.54)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 22.9% | 19.5% | 54.1% |
best score tips
1 - 2
8.9%
1 - 1
7.6%
1 - 3
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Herne Bay | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ashford United | 0 | 2.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| 1 | 3.3% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 1.9% | |
| 2 | 2.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.4% | |
| 3 | 1.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ashford United | Herne Bay |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 67% |
| Attack | 69% | 63% |
| Defense | 69% | 56% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
73%
FT probability
3.5+
52%
FT probability
BTTS
81%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ashford United | Herne Bay | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
| Wins | 33% | 20% | 27% | 50% | 57% | 53% |
| Draws | 33% | 0% | 18% | 13% | 14% | 13% |
| Loses | 33% | 80% | 55% | 38% | 29% | 33% |
Form: Ashford United: LDLDWLLWLWL • Herne Bay: LWDWLLWLWWWWLWD
League goals
| Metric | Ashford United | Herne Bay | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 7 | 20 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| GF avg | 2.2 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 11 | 9 | 20 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
| GA avg | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ashford United | Herne Bay | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 64% | 91% | 87% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 45% | 55% | 60% | 47% |
| 2.5 | 27% | 27% | 27% | 27% |
| 3.5 | 18% | 9% | 20% | 13% |
| 4.5 | 18% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ashford United | Herne Bay | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ashford United | Herne Bay |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ashford United | Herne Bay |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-2 | 0-6 | 4-2 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 4-0 | 0-4 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 6 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ashford United | Herne Bay |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 63% |
| Att | 52% | 48% |
| Def | 58% | 42% |
| Poisson Distribution | 37% | 63% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 63% | 37% |
| Total | 53.2% | 47.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Ashford United or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Ashford United = 1.46 (league 1.96), Herne Bay = 2.34 (league 1.54)
| Herne Bay | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ashford United | 0 | 2.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| 1 | 3.3% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 1.9% | |
| 2 | 2.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.4% | |
| 3 | 1.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.9% · Draw 19.5% · Away win 54.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1