Wed, Nov 12 2025 • 19:30 •
The Bourne Stadium
Expected Goals
1.46 (league 1.97)
1.37 (league 1.52)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 39.1% | 25.1% | 35.1% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.8%
2 - 1
8.6%
1 - 0
8.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Ashford United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sevenoaks Town | 0 | 5.9% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 8.6% | 11.8% | 8.1% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.3% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 3.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sevenoaks Town | Ashford United |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 27% |
| Attack | 24% | 52% |
| Defense | 48% | 62% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
68%
FT probability
3.5+
48%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sevenoaks Town | Ashford United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 8 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| Wins | 50% | 13% | 31% | 25% | 17% | 21% |
| Draws | 0% | 13% | 6% | 38% | 0% | 21% |
| Loses | 50% | 75% | 63% | 38% | 83% | 57% |
Form: Sevenoaks Town: LDWWWLLLLLWLLLWL • Ashford United: LDLDWLLWLWLLDL
League goals
| Metric | Sevenoaks Town | Ashford United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 10 | 23 | 17 | 8 | 25 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 13 | 21 | 34 | 16 | 11 | 27 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 2.6 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sevenoaks Town | Ashford United | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 75% | 71% | 93% |
| 1.5 | 44% | 69% | 43% | 64% |
| 2.5 | 19% | 38% | 29% | 29% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 25% | 14% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 6% | 14% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sevenoaks Town | Ashford United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sevenoaks Town | Ashford United |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sevenoaks Town | Ashford United |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 5 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-2 | 5-2 | 0-6 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 4-0 | 1-2 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sevenoaks Town | Ashford United |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43% | 57% |
| Att | 31% | 69% |
| Def | 42% | 58% |
| Poisson Distribution | 51% | 49% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 42.5% | 57.5% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Ashford United
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Sevenoaks Town = 1.46 (league 1.97), Ashford United = 1.37 (league 1.52)
| Ashford United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sevenoaks Town | 0 | 5.9% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 8.6% | 11.8% | 8.1% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.3% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 3.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.1% · Draw 25.1% · Away win 35.1%
Vtot 2 , Vtod1