Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 15:00 • The Homelands
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.86 (league 1.98) 2.71 (league 1.54)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.1% 17.1% 33.4%
best score tips
2 - 2
5.7%
3 - 2
5.5%
2 - 3
5.2%
Score & goals probability table
Sheppey United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ashford United 0 0.4% 1.0% 1.4% 1.3% 0.9% 0.5%
1 1.1% 3.0% 4.0% 3.6% 2.4% 1.3%
2 1.6% 4.2% 5.7% 5.2% 3.5% 1.9%
3 1.5% 4.0% 5.5% 4.9% 3.3% 1.8%
4 1.1% 2.9% 3.9% 3.5% 2.4% 1.3%
5 0.6% 1.6% 2.2% 2.0% 1.4% 0.7%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAshford UnitedSheppey United
Played55
Form40%73%
Attack53%71%
Defense35%65%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.812 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

83%
FT probability

3.5+

59%
FT probability

BTTS

87%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ashford United Sheppey United
HATHAT
Played991810919
Wins22%33%28%60%33%47%
Draws33%0%17%20%11%16%
Loses44%67%56%20%56%37%

Form: Ashford United: LDLDWLLWLWLLDLWLWL • Sheppey United: WLWLLLWLDWLLWWWDWWD

League goals

Metric Ashford United Sheppey United
HATHAT
GF total191433191736
GF avg2.11.61.81.91.91.9
GA total201636142438
GA avg2.21.82.01.42.72.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAshford UnitedSheppey United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%94%89%79%
1.550%67%63%42%
2.528%28%26%37%
3.517%11%11%21%
4.511%0%0%11%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAshford UnitedSheppey United
HATHAT
Clean sheets011314
Failed to score145112

Penalties

MetricAshford UnitedSheppey United
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAshford UnitedSheppey United
Wins13
Draws11
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-20-64-01-3
Biggest losses2-44-01-47-1
Goals For5644
Goals Against4447

Model comparison

MetricAshford UnitedSheppey United
Form35%65%
Att43%57%
Def35%65%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h60%40%
Goals38%62%
Total43.7%56.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Sheppey United and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ashford United = 2.86 (league 1.98), Sheppey United = 2.71 (league 1.54)

Sheppey United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ashford United 0 0.4% 1.0% 1.4% 1.3% 0.9% 0.5%
1 1.1% 3.0% 4.0% 3.6% 2.4% 1.3%
2 1.6% 4.2% 5.7% 5.2% 3.5% 1.9%
3 1.5% 4.0% 5.5% 4.9% 3.3% 1.8%
4 1.1% 2.9% 3.9% 3.5% 2.4% 1.3%
5 0.6% 1.6% 2.2% 2.0% 1.4% 0.7%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.1% · Draw 17.1% · Away win 33.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1