Sat, Dec 27 2025 • 15:00 •
Winch's Field
Expected Goals
1.81 (league 1.99)
2.00 (league 1.52)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 34.7% | 21.2% | 41.4% |
best score tips
1 - 1
8.0%
1 - 2
8.0%
2 - 1
7.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Margate | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Herne Bay | 0 | 2.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 4.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% | |
| 2 | 3.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% | |
| 3 | 2.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Herne Bay | Margate |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 47% |
| Attack | 24% | 56% |
| Defense | 68% | 52% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 14 | 2.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
74%
FT probability
3.5+
53%
FT probability
BTTS
84%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Herne Bay | Margate | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 12 | 23 | 11 | 11 | 22 |
| Wins | 45% | 50% | 48% | 64% | 18% | 41% |
| Draws | 27% | 17% | 22% | 18% | 55% | 36% |
| Loses | 27% | 33% | 30% | 18% | 27% | 23% |
Form: Herne Bay: LWDWLLWLWWWWLWDWLWLDDDW • Margate: DLDDWDWLWLWDDWDWWWWDLL
League goals
| Metric | Herne Bay | Margate | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 21 | 20 | 41 | 29 | 21 | 50 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 2.6 | 1.9 | 2.3 |
| GA total | 18 | 18 | 36 | 18 | 21 | 39 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Herne Bay | Margate | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 87% | 83% | 82% | 91% |
| 1.5 | 52% | 39% | 59% | 64% |
| 2.5 | 22% | 22% | 32% | 23% |
| 3.5 | 17% | 13% | 23% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 14% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Herne Bay | Margate | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Herne Bay | Margate |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Herne Bay | Margate |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 4 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-4 | 7-2 | 3-7 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 4-1 | 0-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 7 | 7 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Herne Bay | Margate |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 46% | 54% |
| Att | 30% | 70% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 47% | 53% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 42.3% | 57.7% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Margate and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Herne Bay = 1.81 (league 1.99), Margate = 2.00 (league 1.52)
| Margate | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Herne Bay | 0 | 2.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 4.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% | |
| 2 | 3.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% | |
| 3 | 2.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.7% · Draw 21.2% · Away win 41.4%
vtt 2 , vtd1