Sat, Dec 27 2025 • 15:00 •
The Hybrid Fitness Stadium
Expected Goals
1.22 (league 1.98)
1.18 (league 1.54)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 37.0% | 27.6% | 35.0% |
best score tips
1 - 1
13.1%
1 - 0
11.1%
0 - 1
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Sittingbourne | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Merstham | 0 | 9.1% | 10.7% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.1% | 13.1% | 7.7% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 6.8% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.8% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Merstham | Sittingbourne |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 87% |
| Attack | 48% | 56% |
| Defense | 76% | 88% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 14 | 2.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
88%
FT probability
2.5+
62%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
82%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Merstham | Sittingbourne | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 11 | 22 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| Wins | 55% | 55% | 55% | 75% | 36% | 57% |
| Draws | 27% | 18% | 23% | 17% | 27% | 22% |
| Loses | 18% | 27% | 23% | 8% | 36% | 22% |
Form: Merstham: WLWDDDWLDLWWWWLDWWLWWW • Sittingbourne: WWWLDDDDWWLWLLLWWWWWDWW
League goals
| Metric | Merstham | Sittingbourne | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 24 | 22 | 46 | 29 | 14 | 43 |
| GF avg | 2.2 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 1.3 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 15 | 14 | 29 | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Merstham | Sittingbourne | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 95% | 86% | 91% | 74% |
| 1.5 | 55% | 41% | 57% | 22% |
| 2.5 | 27% | 5% | 22% | 9% |
| 3.5 | 23% | 0% | 13% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 9% | 0% | 4% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Merstham | Sittingbourne | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Merstham | Sittingbourne |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Merstham | Sittingbourne |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 5 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 1-4 | 5-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 2-1 | 1-3 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Merstham | Sittingbourne |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 48% | 52% |
| Att | 46% | 54% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 52% | 48% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 23% | 77% |
| Total | 37.0% | 63.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Sittingbourne
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Merstham = 1.22 (league 1.98), Sittingbourne = 1.18 (league 1.54)
| Sittingbourne | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Merstham | 0 | 9.1% | 10.7% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.1% | 13.1% | 7.7% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 6.8% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.8% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.0% · Draw 27.6% · Away win 35.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1
