Sat, Dec 27 2025 • 15:00 • The Hybrid Fitness Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.22 (league 1.98) 1.18 (league 1.54)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.0% 27.6% 35.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.1%
1 - 0
11.1%
0 - 1
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
Sittingbourne
0 1 2 3 4 5
Merstham 0 9.1% 10.7% 6.3% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
1 11.1% 13.1% 7.7% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 6.8% 8.0% 4.7% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.8% 3.2% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.8% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMersthamSittingbourne
Played55
Form80%87%
Attack48%56%
Defense76%88%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.414 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

88%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Merstham Sittingbourne
HATHAT
Played111122121123
Wins55%55%55%75%36%57%
Draws27%18%23%17%27%22%
Loses18%27%23%8%36%22%

Form: Merstham: WLWDDDWLDLWWWWLDWWLWWW • Sittingbourne: WWWLDDDDWWLWLLLWWWWWDWW

League goals

Metric Merstham Sittingbourne
HATHAT
GF total242246291443
GF avg2.22.02.12.41.31.9
GA total151429121224
GA avg1.41.31.31.01.11.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMersthamSittingbourne
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.595%86%91%74%
1.555%41%57%22%
2.527%5%22%9%
3.523%0%13%0%
4.59%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMersthamSittingbourne
HATHAT
Clean sheets123426
Failed to score011022

Penalties

MetricMersthamSittingbourne
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMersthamSittingbourne
Wins45
Draws34
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-11-45-01-3
Biggest losses1-32-11-32-1
Goals For5453
Goals Against3232

Model comparison

MetricMersthamSittingbourne
Form48%52%
Att46%54%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h20%80%
Goals23%77%
Total37.0%63.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Sittingbourne

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Merstham = 1.22 (league 1.98), Sittingbourne = 1.18 (league 1.54)

Sittingbourne
0 1 2 3 4 5
Merstham 0 9.1% 10.7% 6.3% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
1 11.1% 13.1% 7.7% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 6.8% 8.0% 4.7% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.8% 3.2% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.8% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.0% · Draw 27.6% · Away win 35.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1