Sat, Jan 24 2026 • 15:00 •
The Hybrid Fitness Stadium
Expected Goals
1.44 (league 1.98)
1.54 (league 1.54)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 35.2% | 24.4% | 39.6% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.3%
1 - 2
8.7%
2 - 1
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Herne Bay | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Merstham | 0 | 5.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 7.3% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 5.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Merstham | Herne Bay |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 33% |
| Attack | 22% | 22% |
| Defense | 67% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
91%
FT probability
2.5+
64%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
82%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Merstham | Herne Bay | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 13 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
| Wins | 46% | 54% | 50% | 36% | 50% | 42% |
| Draws | 23% | 15% | 19% | 29% | 17% | 23% |
| Loses | 31% | 31% | 31% | 36% | 33% | 35% |
Form: Merstham: WLWDDDWLDLWWWWLDWWLWWWLLLW • Herne Bay: LWDWLLWLWWWWLWDWLWLDDDWLLD
League goals
| Metric | Merstham | Herne Bay | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 25 | 24 | 49 | 22 | 20 | 42 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 18 | 17 | 35 | 22 | 18 | 40 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Merstham | Herne Bay | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 88% | 88% | 81% | 81% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 42% | 46% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 23% | 4% | 19% | 23% |
| 3.5 | 19% | 0% | 15% | 12% |
| 4.5 | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Merstham | Herne Bay | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Merstham | Herne Bay |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Merstham | Herne Bay |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 4 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 1-4 | 4-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 2-0 | 0-4 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Merstham | Herne Bay |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 55% | 45% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 50% | 50% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 42% | 58% |
| Total | 47.5% | 52.5% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Herne Bay
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Merstham = 1.44 (league 1.98), Herne Bay = 1.54 (league 1.54)
| Herne Bay | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Merstham | 0 | 5.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 7.3% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 5.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.2% · Draw 24.4% · Away win 39.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1