Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 15:00 •
The Pilot Field
Expected Goals
0.80 (league 2.01)
1.24 (league 1.50)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 23.7% | 29.4% | 46.6% |
best score tips
0 - 1
16.2%
0 - 0
13.0%
1 - 1
12.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Merstham | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Hastings United | 0 | 13.0% | 16.2% | 10.1% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 10.3% | 12.9% | 8.0% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Hastings United | Merstham |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 20% |
| Attack | 15% | 15% |
| Defense | 40% | 45% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
84%
FT probability
2.5+
59%
FT probability
3.5+
42%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Hastings United | Merstham | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 14 | 28 | 14 | 14 | 28 |
| Wins | 29% | 29% | 29% | 43% | 50% | 46% |
| Draws | 29% | 14% | 21% | 21% | 14% | 18% |
| Loses | 43% | 57% | 50% | 36% | 36% | 36% |
Form: Hastings United: DWLDLLWLLLLLLDWWDLWWDWWLLLDL • Merstham: WLWDDDWLDLWWWWLDWWLWWWLLLWLL
League goals
| Metric | Hastings United | Merstham | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 22 | 36 | 26 | 24 | 50 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 16 | 31 | 47 | 20 | 22 | 42 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Hastings United | Merstham | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 68% | 75% | 86% | 89% |
| 1.5 | 32% | 50% | 46% | 46% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 25% | 21% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 14% | 18% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 7% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Hastings United | Merstham | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Hastings United | Merstham |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Hastings United | Merstham |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 6 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-4 | 5-1 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 5-1 | 1-3 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Hastings United | Merstham |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 25% | 75% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 48% | 52% |
| Poisson Distribution | 40% | 60% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 40.8% | 59.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Merstham
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Hastings United = 0.80 (league 2.01), Merstham = 1.24 (league 1.50)
| Merstham | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Hastings United | 0 | 13.0% | 16.2% | 10.1% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 10.3% | 12.9% | 8.0% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.7% · Draw 29.4% · Away win 46.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1