Sat, Mar 7 2026 • 15:00 •
The Hybrid Fitness Stadium
Expected Goals
2.61 (league 1.99)
1.28 (league 1.52)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 61.0% | 17.2% | 16.7% |
best score tips
2 - 1
8.9%
3 - 1
7.8%
2 - 0
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Sheppey United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Merstham | 0 | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.0% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 6.1% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Merstham | Sheppey United |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 0% |
| Attack | 28% | 11% |
| Defense | 50% | 56% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
70%
FT probability
3.5+
50%
FT probability
BTTS
82%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Merstham | Sheppey United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 16 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 31 |
| Wins | 47% | 44% | 45% | 41% | 21% | 32% |
| Draws | 20% | 19% | 19% | 24% | 14% | 19% |
| Loses | 33% | 38% | 35% | 35% | 64% | 48% |
Form: Merstham: WLWDDDWLDLWWWWLDWWLWWWLLLWLLDWL • Sheppey United: WLWLLLWLDWLLWWWDWWDDLWLLDDLLLLL
League goals
| Metric | Merstham | Sheppey United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 30 | 24 | 54 | 27 | 21 | 48 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 20 | 24 | 44 | 24 | 36 | 60 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 2.6 | 1.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Merstham | Sheppey United | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 81% | 84% | 77% | 84% |
| 1.5 | 45% | 45% | 48% | 52% |
| 2.5 | 23% | 6% | 19% | 29% |
| 3.5 | 19% | 3% | 10% | 16% |
| 4.5 | 6% | 3% | 0% | 6% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Merstham | Sheppey United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Merstham | Sheppey United |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Merstham | Sheppey United |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 1-4 | 4-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 5-0 | 1-4 | 7-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Merstham | Sheppey United |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 100% | 0% |
| Att | 71% | 29% |
| Def | 47% | 53% |
| Poisson Distribution | 68% | 32% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 53% | 47% |
| Total | 60.2% | 39.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Merstham or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Merstham = 2.61 (league 1.99), Sheppey United = 1.28 (league 1.52)
| Sheppey United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Merstham | 0 | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.0% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 6.1% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.0% · Draw 17.2% · Away win 16.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1