Sat, Mar 7 2026 • 15:00 •
Winch's Field
Expected Goals
1.43 (league 1.99)
2.36 (league 1.52)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 22.1% | 19.3% | 54.9% |
best score tips
1 - 2
9.0%
1 - 1
7.6%
1 - 3
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Ashford United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Herne Bay | 0 | 2.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| 1 | 3.2% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 2.0% | |
| 2 | 2.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.4% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Herne Bay | Ashford United |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 53% |
| Attack | 28% | 61% |
| Defense | 22% | 72% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 14 | 2.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
72%
FT probability
3.5+
51%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Herne Bay | Ashford United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 16 | 16 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 32 |
| Wins | 31% | 44% | 38% | 41% | 40% | 41% |
| Draws | 31% | 19% | 25% | 29% | 7% | 19% |
| Loses | 38% | 38% | 38% | 29% | 53% | 41% |
Form: Herne Bay: LWDWLLWLWWWWLWDWLWLDDDWLLDWDLLLD • Ashford United: LDLDWLLWLWLLDLWLWLDWWLWWWWLLDWDW
League goals
| Metric | Herne Bay | Ashford United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 24 | 25 | 49 | 38 | 30 | 68 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 2.1 |
| GA total | 28 | 27 | 55 | 28 | 28 | 56 |
| GA avg | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Herne Bay | Ashford United | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 78% | 84% | 81% | 84% |
| 1.5 | 47% | 47% | 53% | 56% |
| 2.5 | 16% | 25% | 34% | 22% |
| 3.5 | 13% | 16% | 22% | 9% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 13% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Herne Bay | Ashford United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Herne Bay | Ashford United |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Herne Bay | Ashford United |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 4 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-4 | 7-0 | 0-6 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 4-1 | 2-4 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 7 | 6 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Herne Bay | Ashford United |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 20% | 80% |
| Att | 31% | 69% |
| Def | 26% | 74% |
| Poisson Distribution | 39% | 61% |
| H2h | 40% | 60% |
| Goals | 39% | 61% |
| Total | 32.5% | 67.5% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Ashford United
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Herne Bay = 1.43 (league 1.99), Ashford United = 2.36 (league 1.52)
| Ashford United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Herne Bay | 0 | 2.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| 1 | 3.2% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 2.0% | |
| 2 | 2.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.4% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.1% · Draw 19.3% · Away win 54.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1