Sat, Mar 28 2026 • 15:00 •
The Bourne Stadium
Expected Goals
1.27 (league 2.01)
1.70 (league 1.50)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 28.6% | 23.8% | 46.6% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.1%
1 - 2
9.4%
0 - 1
8.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Herne Bay | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sevenoaks Town | 0 | 5.1% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 6.5% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 4.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sevenoaks Town | Herne Bay |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 27% |
| Attack | 29% | 25% |
| Defense | 71% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
93%
FT probability
2.5+
65%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sevenoaks Town | Herne Bay | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 18 | 18 | 36 | 18 | 17 | 35 |
| Wins | 44% | 28% | 36% | 33% | 41% | 37% |
| Draws | 11% | 22% | 17% | 28% | 18% | 23% |
| Loses | 44% | 50% | 47% | 39% | 41% | 40% |
Form: Sevenoaks Town: LDWWWLLLLLWLLLWLLLWLDLWWWWDWLWDDLDLW • Herne Bay: LWDWLLWLWWWWLWDWLWLDDDWLLDWDLLLDLWL
League goals
| Metric | Sevenoaks Town | Herne Bay | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 29 | 24 | 53 | 28 | 25 | 53 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 30 | 37 | 67 | 33 | 28 | 61 |
| GA avg | 1.7 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sevenoaks Town | Herne Bay | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 78% | 78% | 74% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 42% | 53% | 46% | 46% |
| 2.5 | 22% | 31% | 17% | 26% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 19% | 14% | 17% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 6% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sevenoaks Town | Herne Bay | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sevenoaks Town | Herne Bay |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sevenoaks Town | Herne Bay |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 5 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-3 | 4-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-5 | 4-0 | 0-4 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sevenoaks Town | Herne Bay |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 54% | 46% |
| Def | 63% | 37% |
| Poisson Distribution | 47% | 53% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 59% | 41% |
| Total | 58.3% | 41.7% |
Advice: Double chance : Sevenoaks Town or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Sevenoaks Town = 1.27 (league 2.01), Herne Bay = 1.70 (league 1.50)
| Herne Bay | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sevenoaks Town | 0 | 5.1% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 6.5% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 4.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.6% · Draw 23.8% · Away win 46.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1