Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 14:00 • Stadion FK Omladinac Zablaće
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.53 (league 1.25) 0.54 (league 0.91)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
61.3% 25.3% 12.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
19.3%
2 - 0
14.8%
0 - 0
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
Jošanica
0 1 2 3 4 5
Omladinac Zablaće 0 12.6% 6.8% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.3% 10.4% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.8% 8.0% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.6% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home strong edge

Omladinac Zablaće carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 100 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Omladinac Zablaće -10.3, Jošanica +15.5.

Strong confidence Upset risk: Low Elo standalone
Omladinac Zablaće Elo 1514.5 · -10.3
vs
Jošanica Elo 1449.6 · +15.5
Elo gapOmladinac Zablaće +100
Home / draw / away52% / 19% / 29%
Expected home share64%
Combined Elo2964.1
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home strong edge
Confidence band Strong confidence
Upset risk Low
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 2964.1
Elo home share 64%
Match tone Tactical Watch
Metric Omladinac Zablaće Jošanica
Overall Elo1514.51449.6
Form Elo1504.31444.3
Home / Away Elo1531.11476.7
Attack Elo1468.21456.7
Defense Elo1573.21499
Last 5 Elo change-10.3+15.5

This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Omladinac Zablaće last-5 Elo change: -10.3; Jošanica last-5 Elo change: +15.5.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOmladinac ZablaćeJošanica
Played55
Form27%33%
Attack22%33%
Defense67%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.43 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Omladinac Zablaće Jošanica
HATHAT
Played111223121022
Wins36%17%26%17%20%18%
Draws45%33%39%25%40%32%
Loses18%50%35%58%40%50%
Omladinac ZablaćeLDWLLWWWDLLWDDLDLWLDDDD
JošanicaLDDLLWDLDLWLLLDLWDLDWL

League goals

Metric Omladinac Zablaće Jošanica
HATHAT
GF total1872513720
GF avg1.60.61.11.10.70.9
GA total81725171229
GA avg0.71.41.11.41.21.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOmladinac ZablaćeJošanica
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.548%61%68%77%
1.530%22%23%36%
2.517%17%0%18%
3.59%9%0%0%
4.54%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOmladinac ZablaćeJošanica
HATHAT
Clean sheets549235
Failed to score4812437

Penalties

MetricOmladinac ZablaćeJošanica
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricOmladinac ZablaćeJošanica
Wins31
Draws22
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-11-32-00-1
Biggest losses2-34-02-33-0
Goals For5321
Goals Against3433

Model comparison

MetricOmladinac ZablaćeJošanica
Form44%56%
Att40%60%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h38%62%
Goals40%60%
Total48.8%51.2%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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