Second League — Egypt
Thu, Apr 23 2026 • 13:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.11 (league 0.96) 1.19 (league 0.94)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
3.5% 30.9% 65.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
32.3%
0 - 0
27.1%
0 - 2
19.3%
Score & goals probability table
Olympic El Qanah
0 1 2 3 4 5
Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat 0 27.1% 32.3% 19.3% 7.7% 2.3% 0.5%
1 3.1% 3.7% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
2 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Away strong edge

Olympic El Qanah carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 118 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat -17.1, Olympic El Qanah 0.0.

Strong confidence Upset risk: Low Elo standalone
Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat Elo 1485.4 · -17.1
vs
Olympic El Qanah Elo 1638.7 · 0.0
Elo gapOlympic El Qanah +118
Home / draw / away28% / 18% / 54%
Expected home share34%
Combined Elo3124.1
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Away strong edge
Confidence band Strong confidence
Upset risk Low
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 3124.1
Elo home share 34%
Match tone Heavy Favorite
Metric Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat Olympic El Qanah
Overall Elo1485.41638.7
Form Elo1476.81648
Home / Away Elo1492.21570.8
Attack Elo1421.21581.6
Defense Elo1576.81660
Last 5 Elo change-17.10.0

This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat last-5 Elo change: -17.1; Olympic El Qanah last-5 Elo change: 0.0.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMaleyet Kafr El ZayiatOlympic El Qanah
Played55
Form27%67%
Attack10%100%
Defense70%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.210 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

51%
FT probability

2.5+

36%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

54%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

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Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat Olympic El Qanah
HATHAT
Played151530151530
Wins33%27%30%60%73%67%
Draws33%33%33%33%20%27%
Loses33%40%37%7%7%7%
Maleyet Kafr El ZayiatDLDLWDLLWWWWLLLWDWWLDDDDDLLDLW
Olympic El QanahDWDWDWDLWWDDWWWWWWWWWDWWWDWWWL

League goals

Metric Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat Olympic El Qanah
HATHAT
GF total16824292150
GF avg1.10.50.81.91.41.7
GA total12132513215
GA avg0.80.90.80.90.10.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMaleyet Kafr El ZayiatOlympic El Qanah
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.553%57%90%43%
1.520%23%50%7%
2.53%3%20%0%
3.53%0%7%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMaleyet Kafr El ZayiatOlympic El Qanah
HATHAT
Clean sheets671341317
Failed to score5914033

Penalties

MetricMaleyet Kafr El ZayiatOlympic El Qanah
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total45

Streaks

MetricMaleyet Kafr El ZayiatOlympic El Qanah
Wins49
Draws52
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-24-10-4
Biggest losses0-23-11-21-0
Goals For4244
Goals Against2321

Model comparison

MetricMaleyet Kafr El ZayiatOlympic El Qanah
Form29%71%
Att9%91%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution11%89%
H2h0%100%
Goals25%75%
Total27.4%72.8%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.25 @ Unibet
Draw2.90 @ Unibet
Away2.35 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.40 @ BetVictor
No1.57 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.01 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.40 @ Bet365
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League standings

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