Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 20:30 • Estadio Jorge Andrade
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.03 (league 1.40) 1.08 (league 0.83)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.7% 29.9% 36.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.5%
0 - 1
13.1%
1 - 0
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
Leones del Norte
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gualaceo SC 0 12.2% 13.1% 7.1% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
1 12.5% 13.5% 7.3% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 6.4% 6.9% 3.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.2% 2.4% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGualaceo SCLeones del Norte
Played55
Form67%40%
Attack100%67%
Defense33%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gualaceo SC Leones del Norte
HATHAT
Played141428141428
Wins64%21%43%64%21%43%
Draws21%43%32%29%43%36%
Loses14%36%25%7%36%21%

Form: Gualaceo SC: WDDDWWWWDWLDDWLDWLLWLDLWWWDL • Leones del Norte: WDDDDWLWWWWLDDWDWLWLWWLDLDDW

League goals

Metric Gualaceo SC Leones del Norte
HATHAT
GF total231235191231
GF avg1.60.91.31.40.91.1
GA total14203471320
GA avg1.01.41.20.50.90.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGualaceo SCLeones del Norte
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%75%75%54%
1.546%36%32%18%
2.57%11%4%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGualaceo SCLeones del Norte
HATHAT
Clean sheets5279413
Failed to score268257

Penalties

MetricGualaceo SCLeones del Norte
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricGualaceo SCLeones del Norte
Wins44
Draws34
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-22-00-2
Biggest losses0-13-01-22-1
Goals For3232
Goals Against2322

Model comparison

MetricGualaceo SCLeones del Norte
Form63%38%
Att64%36%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h62%38%
Goals50%50%
Total56.7%43.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Gualaceo SC or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.60 @ Bet365
Draw2.94 @ 188Bet
Away3.35 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.45 @ 188Bet
No1.62 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.94 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.40 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Gualaceo SC = 1.03 (league 1.40), Leones del Norte = 1.08 (league 0.83)

Leones del Norte
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gualaceo SC 0 12.2% 13.1% 7.1% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
1 12.5% 13.5% 7.3% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 6.4% 6.9% 3.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.2% 2.4% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.7% · Draw 29.9% · Away win 36.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1