Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 22:00 • Estadio Modelo Alberto Spencer
Second Half
Expected Goals
0.76 (league 1.45) 0.82 (league 0.85)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.5% 35.6% 33.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
20.6%
0 - 1
16.9%
1 - 0
15.7%
Score & goals probability table
Leones del Norte
0 1 2 3 4 5
9 de Octubre 0 20.6% 16.9% 6.9% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.7% 12.8% 5.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 5.9% 4.9% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.5% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric9 de OctubreLeones del Norte
Played55
Form40%60%
Attack44%67%
Defense44%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%
FT probability

2.5+

38%
FT probability

3.5+

27%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric 9 de Octubre Leones del Norte
HATHAT
Played151530151530
Wins47%27%37%60%27%43%
Draws27%40%33%33%40%37%
Loses27%33%30%7%33%20%

Form: 9 de Octubre: DDWWLLDDWWWWWLWLDLWDLLWDLLDDWD • Leones del Norte: WDDDDWLWWWWLDDWDWLWLWWLDLDDWWD

League goals

Metric 9 de Octubre Leones del Norte
HATHAT
GF total171330201535
GF avg1.10.91.01.31.01.2
GA total10142481523
GA avg0.70.90.80.51.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line9 de OctubreLeones del Norte
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%77%57%
1.527%13%33%20%
2.57%0%7%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric9 de OctubreLeones del Norte
HATHAT
Clean sheets73109413
Failed to score5510257

Penalties

Metric9 de OctubreLeones del Norte
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

Metric9 de OctubreLeones del Norte
Wins54
Draws24
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-22-00-2
Biggest losses0-22-11-22-1
Goals For3233
Goals Against2222

Model comparison

Metric9 de OctubreLeones del Norte
Form40%60%
Att40%60%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h75%25%
Goals75%25%
Total54.2%45.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : 9 de Octubre or draw and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.57 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away2.55 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.89 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.23 @ Unibet
No1.67 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): 9 de Octubre = 0.76 (league 1.45), Leones del Norte = 0.82 (league 0.85)

Leones del Norte
0 1 2 3 4 5
9 de Octubre 0 20.6% 16.9% 6.9% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.7% 12.8% 5.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 5.9% 4.9% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.5% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.5% · Draw 35.6% · Away win 33.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1