Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 22:00 •
Estadio Modelo Alberto Spencer
Expected Goals
0.78 (league 1.42)
0.84 (league 0.84)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 30.7% | 35.1% | 34.1% |
best score tips
0 - 0
20.0%
0 - 1
16.7%
1 - 0
15.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Leones del Norte | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| 9 de Octubre | 0 | 20.0% | 16.7% | 7.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 15.5% | 12.9% | 5.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 6.0% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | 9 de Octubre | Leones del Norte |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Attack | 27% | 40% |
| Defense | 67% | 73% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
54%
FT probability
2.5+
38%
FT probability
3.5+
27%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | 9 de Octubre | Leones del Norte | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 15 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 30 |
| Wins | 47% | 27% | 37% | 60% | 27% | 43% |
| Draws | 27% | 40% | 33% | 33% | 40% | 37% |
| Loses | 27% | 33% | 30% | 7% | 33% | 20% |
Form: 9 de Octubre: DDWWLLDDWWWWWLWLDLWDLLWDLLDDWD • Leones del Norte: WDDDDWLWWWWLDDWDWLWLWWLDLDDWWD
League goals
| Metric | 9 de Octubre | Leones del Norte | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 13 | 30 | 20 | 15 | 35 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 10 | 14 | 24 | 8 | 15 | 23 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | 9 de Octubre | Leones del Norte | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 67% | 77% | 57% |
| 1.5 | 27% | 13% | 33% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 0% | 7% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | 9 de Octubre | Leones del Norte | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 13 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | 9 de Octubre | Leones del Norte |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | 9 de Octubre | Leones del Norte |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-2 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-1 | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | 9 de Octubre | Leones del Norte |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 50% | 50% |
| H2h | 75% | 25% |
| Goals | 75% | 25% |
| Total | 54.0% | 46.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : 9 de Octubre or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): 9 de Octubre = 0.78 (league 1.42), Leones del Norte = 0.84 (league 0.84)
| Leones del Norte | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| 9 de Octubre | 0 | 20.0% | 16.7% | 7.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 15.5% | 12.9% | 5.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 6.0% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.7% · Draw 35.1% · Away win 34.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1