Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 03:00 •
Estadio Arena Cora
Expected Goals
0.33 (league 1.52)
2.55 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 3.2% | 11.4% | 80.9% |
best score tips
0 - 2
18.3%
0 - 3
15.5%
0 - 1
14.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Ensenada | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tigres de Alica | 0 | 5.6% | 14.3% | 18.3% | 15.5% | 9.9% | 5.1% |
| 1 | 1.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.7% | |
| 2 | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Tigres de Alica | Ensenada |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 67% |
| Attack | 41% | 41% |
| Defense | 76% | 88% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Tigres de Alica | Ensenada | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 0% | 75% | 60% | 67% | 50% | 60% |
| Draws | 0% | 25% | 20% | 0% | 50% | 20% |
| Loses | 100% | 0% | 20% | 33% | 0% | 20% |
Form: Tigres de Alica: DWWLW • Ensenada: LWWDW
League goals
| Metric | Tigres de Alica | Ensenada | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Tigres de Alica | Ensenada | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 20% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Tigres de Alica | Ensenada | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Tigres de Alica | Ensenada |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Tigres de Alica | Ensenada |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-2 | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | — | 0-1 | — |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Tigres de Alica | Ensenada |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 11% | 89% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 36.0% | 64.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Ensenada
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Tigres de Alica = 0.33 (league 1.52), Ensenada = 2.55 (league 1.18)
| Ensenada | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tigres de Alica | 0 | 5.6% | 14.3% | 18.3% | 15.5% | 9.9% | 5.1% |
| 1 | 1.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.7% | |
| 2 | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 3.2% · Draw 11.4% · Away win 80.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1