Tue, Oct 14 2025 • 02:05 • Estadio Arena Cora
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.32 (league 1.52) 1.19 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.3% 26.9% 33.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.8%
1 - 0
10.7%
0 - 1
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Mineros de Fresnillo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tigres de Alica 0 8.2% 9.7% 5.8% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
1 10.7% 12.8% 7.6% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.1% 8.4% 5.0% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 3.1% 3.7% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.0% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTigres de AlicaMineros de Fresnillo
Played55
Form40%20%
Attack55%45%
Defense45%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.212 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tigres de Alica Mineros de Fresnillo
HATHAT
Played257437
Wins0%60%43%25%0%14%
Draws0%20%14%0%33%14%
Loses100%20%43%75%67%71%

Form: Tigres de Alica: DWWLWLL • Mineros de Fresnillo: DLLLWLL

League goals

Metric Tigres de Alica Mineros de Fresnillo
HATHAT
GF total268527
GF avg1.01.21.11.30.71.0
GA total43710616
GA avg2.00.61.02.52.02.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTigres de AlicaMineros de Fresnillo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%71%57%100%
1.529%29%43%71%
2.50%0%0%43%
3.50%0%0%14%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTigres de AlicaMineros de Fresnillo
HATHAT
Clean sheets022000
Failed to score011123

Penalties

MetricTigres de AlicaMineros de Fresnillo
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricTigres de AlicaMineros de Fresnillo
Wins21
Draws11
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-22-1—
Biggest losses1-21-01-43-0
Goals For1222
Goals Against2143

Model comparison

MetricTigres de AlicaMineros de Fresnillo
Form67%33%
Att55%45%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total60.8%39.3%

Advice: Double chance : Tigres de Alica or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.68 @ Unibet
Draw4.00 @ William Hill
Away5.12 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ William Hill
No1.87 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.92 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tigres de Alica = 1.32 (league 1.52), Mineros de Fresnillo = 1.19 (league 1.18)

Mineros de Fresnillo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tigres de Alica 0 8.2% 9.7% 5.8% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
1 10.7% 12.8% 7.6% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.1% 8.4% 5.0% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 3.1% 3.7% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.0% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.3% · Draw 26.9% · Away win 33.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1