Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 17:00 • Estadio Club Deportivo Universidad de Guadalajara
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.32 (league 1.52) 1.45 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
8.0% 25.9% 65.8%
best score tips
0 - 1
24.7%
0 - 2
17.9%
0 - 0
17.0%
Score & goals probability table
Ensenada
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leones Negros 0 17.0% 24.7% 17.9% 8.7% 3.1% 0.9%
1 5.5% 7.9% 5.7% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
2 0.9% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLeones NegrosEnsenada
Played55
Form67%67%
Attack50%67%
Defense58%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

60%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Leones Negros Ensenada
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins33%50%43%50%67%57%
Draws33%25%29%0%33%14%
Loses33%25%29%50%0%29%

Form: Leones Negros: DLDWWLW • Ensenada: LWWDWWL

League goals

Metric Leones Negros Ensenada
HATHAT
GF total2685510
GF avg0.71.51.11.31.71.4
GA total358325
GA avg1.01.31.10.80.70.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLeones NegrosEnsenada
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%71%86%57%
1.529%43%43%14%
2.514%0%14%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLeones NegrosEnsenada
HATHAT
Clean sheets112213
Failed to score112101

Penalties

MetricLeones NegrosEnsenada
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricLeones NegrosEnsenada
Wins22
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-02-33-00-2
Biggest losses0-22-11-2—
Goals For1332
Goals Against2221

Model comparison

MetricLeones NegrosEnsenada
Form50%50%
Att43%57%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution17%83%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total38.5%61.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Ensenada

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.15 @ 10Bet
Draw3.73 @ Pinnacle
Away3.90 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ 10Bet
No2.10 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Leones Negros = 0.32 (league 1.52), Ensenada = 1.45 (league 1.17)

Ensenada
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leones Negros 0 17.0% 24.7% 17.9% 8.7% 3.1% 0.9%
1 5.5% 7.9% 5.7% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
2 0.9% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 8.0% · Draw 25.9% · Away win 65.8%

vtt 2 , vtd1