Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 21:30 •
Unidad Deportiva Chapultepec
Expected Goals
0.71 (league 1.52)
1.02 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 24.9% | 33.1% | 41.9% |
best score tips
0 - 1
18.1%
0 - 0
17.7%
1 - 1
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Tigres de Alica | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Guerreros | 0 | 17.7% | 18.1% | 9.2% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 12.6% | 12.8% | 6.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Guerreros | Tigres de Alica |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 20% |
| Attack | 100% | 67% |
| Defense | 0% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
70%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Guerreros | Tigres de Alica | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| Wins | 50% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 60% | 38% |
| Draws | 25% | 0% | 13% | 0% | 20% | 13% |
| Loses | 25% | 100% | 63% | 100% | 20% | 50% |
Form: Guerreros: LWLDLWLL • Tigres de Alica: DWWLWLLL
League goals
| Metric | Guerreros | Tigres de Alica | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 8 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 4 | 11 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 2.8 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Guerreros | Tigres de Alica | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 88% | 75% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 50% | 25% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 25% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 13% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 13% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Guerreros | Tigres de Alica | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Guerreros | Tigres de Alica |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Guerreros | Tigres de Alica |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | — | — | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 5-0 | 1-2 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Guerreros | Tigres de Alica |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 64% | 36% |
| Def | 47% | 53% |
| Poisson Distribution | 40% | 60% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 52.0% | 48.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Guerreros or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Guerreros = 0.71 (league 1.52), Tigres de Alica = 1.02 (league 1.18)
| Tigres de Alica | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Guerreros | 0 | 17.7% | 18.1% | 9.2% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 12.6% | 12.8% | 6.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.9% · Draw 33.1% · Away win 41.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1