Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 02:00 •
Estadio Francisco Zarco
Expected Goals
5.86 (league 1.52)
1.44 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 40.4% | 3.7% | 2.4% |
best score tips
5 - 1
5.6%
4 - 1
4.8%
5 - 2
4.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Acatlan | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Durango | 0 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Durango | Acatlan |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 20% |
| Attack | 100% | 57% |
| Defense | 71% | 7% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 15 | 3 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 13 | 2.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
82%
FT probability
3.5+
59%
FT probability
BTTS
79%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Durango | Acatlan | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Wins | 67% | 83% | 78% | 0% | 25% | 11% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% | 0% | 11% |
| Loses | 33% | 17% | 22% | 80% | 75% | 78% |
Form: Durango: WWLWWWLWW • Acatlan: DLLLLLLWL
League goals
| Metric | Durango | Acatlan | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 18 | 26 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| GF avg | 2.7 | 3.0 | 2.9 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 4 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 25 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 2.4 | 3.3 | 2.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Durango | Acatlan | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 89% | 56% | 67% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 78% | 22% | 33% | 100% |
| 2.5 | 44% | 11% | 11% | 56% |
| 3.5 | 44% | 0% | 11% | 11% |
| 4.5 | 33% | 0% | 0% | 11% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Durango | Acatlan | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Durango | Acatlan |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Durango | Acatlan |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 6 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 0-5 | — | 3-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 1-0 | 1-3 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Durango | Acatlan |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 80% | 20% |
| Att | 65% | 35% |
| Def | 76% | 24% |
| Poisson Distribution | 80% | 20% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 75.3% | 24.8% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Durango and +2.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Durango = 5.86 (league 1.52), Acatlan = 1.44 (league 1.18)
| Acatlan | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Durango | 0 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.4% · Draw 3.7% · Away win 2.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1