Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 02:30 •
Estadio Municipal de Ensenada
Expected Goals
0.55 (league 1.52)
1.53 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 13.2% | 25.4% | 60.8% |
best score tips
0 - 1
19.1%
0 - 2
14.6%
0 - 0
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Durango | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ensenada | 0 | 12.5% | 19.1% | 14.6% | 7.4% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 6.9% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ensenada | Durango |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 80% |
| Attack | 31% | 100% |
| Defense | 44% | 75% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 18 | 3.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
84%
FT probability
2.5+
59%
FT probability
3.5+
42%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ensenada | Durango | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
| Wins | 60% | 40% | 50% | 75% | 83% | 80% |
| Draws | 0% | 20% | 10% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 40% | 40% | 40% | 25% | 17% | 20% |
Form: Ensenada: LWWDWWLLWL • Durango: WWLWWWLWWW
League goals
| Metric | Ensenada | Durango | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 18 | 31 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 3.3 | 3.0 | 3.1 |
| GA total | 3 | 8 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ensenada | Durango | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 60% | 90% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 30% | 30% | 80% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 20% | 50% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 40% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ensenada | Durango | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ensenada | Durango |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ensenada | Durango |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-2 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-0 | 1-3 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ensenada | Durango |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 22% | 78% |
| Def | 31% | 69% |
| Poisson Distribution | 25% | 75% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 27.8% | 72.3% |
Advice: Winner : Durango
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Ensenada = 0.55 (league 1.52), Durango = 1.53 (league 1.18)
| Durango | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ensenada | 0 | 12.5% | 19.1% | 14.6% | 7.4% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 6.9% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.2% · Draw 25.4% · Away win 60.8%
Vtot 2 , Vtod1