Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 21:30 •
Unidad Deportiva Chapultepec
Expected Goals
1.42 (league 1.52)
1.02 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 45.9% | 26.7% | 27.0% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.6%
1 - 0
12.4%
2 - 1
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Leones Negros | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Guerreros | 0 | 8.7% | 8.9% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.4% | 12.6% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.8% | 9.0% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Guerreros | Leones Negros |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 60% |
| Attack | 79% | 57% |
| Defense | 50% | 57% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
77%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Guerreros | Leones Negros | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 60% | 20% | 40% | 60% | 40% | 50% |
| Draws | 20% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Loses | 20% | 80% | 50% | 20% | 40% | 30% |
Form: Guerreros: LWLDLWLLWW • Leones Negros: DLDWWLWWLW
League goals
| Metric | Guerreros | Leones Negros | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 7 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 5 | 12 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 2.4 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Guerreros | Leones Negros | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 90% | 70% | 70% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 40% | 40% | 30% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 20% | 20% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 10% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 10% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Guerreros | Leones Negros | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Guerreros | Leones Negros |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Guerreros | Leones Negros |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-4 | 3-0 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 5-0 | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 5 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Guerreros | Leones Negros |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 58% | 42% |
| Def | 46% | 54% |
| Poisson Distribution | 58% | 42% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 53.0% | 47.0% |
Advice: No predictions available
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Guerreros = 1.42 (league 1.52), Leones Negros = 1.02 (league 1.18)
| Leones Negros | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Guerreros | 0 | 8.7% | 8.9% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.4% | 12.6% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.8% | 9.0% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.9% · Draw 26.7% · Away win 27.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1