Sat, Nov 15 2025 • 17:00 • Estadio Club Deportivo Universidad de Guadalajara
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.93 (league 1.51) 1.22 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.9% 29.1% 42.7%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.3%
1 - 1
13.2%
0 - 0
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
Tecos
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leones Negros 0 11.7% 14.3% 8.7% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3%
1 10.8% 13.2% 8.1% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2%
2 5.0% 6.1% 3.7% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.5% 1.9% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLeones NegrosTecos
Played55
Form80%80%
Attack65%40%
Defense60%85%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Leones Negros Tecos
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins60%50%55%67%80%73%
Draws20%17%18%17%0%9%
Loses20%33%27%17%20%18%

Form: Leones Negros: DLDWWLWWLWW • Tecos: WLWDWWWWWLW

League goals

Metric Leones Negros Tecos
HATHAT
GF total7111812921
GF avg1.41.81.62.01.81.9
GA total410146511
GA avg0.81.71.31.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLeones NegrosTecos
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%73%91%64%
1.545%36%73%18%
2.527%9%27%9%
3.59%9%0%9%
4.59%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLeones NegrosTecos
HATHAT
Clean sheets213314
Failed to score123011

Penalties

MetricLeones NegrosTecos
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricLeones NegrosTecos
Wins25
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-04-53-00-2
Biggest losses0-22-12-41-0
Goals For3533
Goals Against2442

Model comparison

MetricLeones NegrosTecos
Form50%50%
Att62%38%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h40%60%
Goals31%69%
Total42.3%57.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Tecos

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.57 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.54 @ Pinnacle
Away2.70 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.00 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.63 @ Superbet
No2.25 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Leones Negros = 0.93 (league 1.51), Tecos = 1.22 (league 1.18)

Tecos
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leones Negros 0 11.7% 14.3% 8.7% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3%
1 10.8% 13.2% 8.1% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2%
2 5.0% 6.1% 3.7% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.5% 1.9% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.9% · Draw 29.1% · Away win 42.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1