Sat, Nov 15 2025 • 02:00 • Estadio Francisco Zarco
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.87 (league 1.52) 1.11 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.4% 30.8% 40.7%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.4%
0 - 0
13.9%
1 - 1
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
Cimarrones
0 1 2 3 4 5
Durango 0 13.9% 15.4% 8.5% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
1 12.1% 13.3% 7.4% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 5.2% 5.8% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.5% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDurangoCimarrones
Played55
Form80%53%
Attack100%11%
Defense78%94%
Goals For (tot | avg)19 | 3.82 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.81 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

82%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Durango Cimarrones
HATHAT
Played47116511
Wins75%86%82%67%40%55%
Draws0%0%0%17%40%27%
Loses25%14%18%17%20%18%

Form: Durango: WWLWWWLWWWW • Cimarrones: WWWDLWWLWDD

League goals

Metric Durango Cimarrones
HATHAT
GF total1321347512
GF avg3.33.03.11.21.01.1
GA total549325
GA avg1.30.60.80.50.40.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDurangoCimarrones
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.591%55%73%36%
1.582%18%18%9%
2.555%9%18%0%
3.545%0%0%0%
4.536%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDurangoCimarrones
HATHAT
Clean sheets145437
Failed to score011123

Penalties

MetricDurangoCimarrones
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricDurangoCimarrones
Wins33
Draws01
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-53-10-3
Biggest losses1-31-01-21-0
Goals For5533
Goals Against3221

Model comparison

MetricDurangoCimarrones
Form60%40%
Att90%10%
Def20%80%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h20%80%
Goals15%85%
Total41.8%58.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Cimarrones

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.63 @ 188Bet
Draw3.82 @ Pinnacle
Away5.60 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.91 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.96 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.90 @ Superbet
No1.95 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Durango = 0.87 (league 1.52), Cimarrones = 1.11 (league 1.18)

Cimarrones
0 1 2 3 4 5
Durango 0 13.9% 15.4% 8.5% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
1 12.1% 13.3% 7.4% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 5.2% 5.8% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.5% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.4% · Draw 30.8% · Away win 40.7%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1