Fri, Nov 14 2025 • 17:00 •
Estadio Miguel Hidalgo
Expected Goals
1.26 (league 1.52)
2.45 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 18.1% | 18.3% | 59.6% |
best score tips
1 - 2
9.3%
1 - 1
7.6%
1 - 3
7.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Ensenada | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Acatlan | 0 | 2.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| 1 | 3.1% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 2.3% | |
| 2 | 2.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Acatlan | Ensenada |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 20% |
| Attack | 40% | 12% |
| Defense | 32% | 56% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 17 | 3.4 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
94%
FT probability
2.5+
66%
FT probability
3.5+
47%
FT probability
BTTS
78%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Acatlan | Ensenada | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Wins | 0% | 17% | 9% | 50% | 40% | 45% |
| Draws | 20% | 0% | 9% | 0% | 20% | 9% |
| Loses | 80% | 83% | 82% | 50% | 40% | 45% |
Form: Acatlan: DLLLLLLWLLL • Ensenada: LWWDWWLLWLL
League goals
| Metric | Acatlan | Ensenada | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 8 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 12 | 21 | 33 | 6 | 8 | 14 |
| GA avg | 2.4 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Acatlan | Ensenada | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 73% | 100% | 73% | 64% |
| 1.5 | 36% | 100% | 27% | 36% |
| 2.5 | 9% | 64% | 9% | 27% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 18% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 18% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Acatlan | Ensenada | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Acatlan | Ensenada |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Acatlan | Ensenada |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 6 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 3-4 | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 5-0 | 0-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Acatlan | Ensenada |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 77% | 23% |
| Def | 39% | 61% |
| Poisson Distribution | 34% | 66% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 50.0% | 50.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Ensenada and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Acatlan = 1.26 (league 1.52), Ensenada = 2.45 (league 1.18)
| Ensenada | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Acatlan | 0 | 2.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| 1 | 3.1% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 2.3% | |
| 2 | 2.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.1% · Draw 18.3% · Away win 59.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1