Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 02:00 •
Estadio Héroe de Nacozari
Expected Goals
2.76 (league 1.52)
0.55 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 77.1% | 11.7% | 5.0% |
best score tips
2 - 0
13.9%
3 - 0
12.8%
1 - 0
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Acatlan | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Cimarrones | 0 | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 10.0% | 5.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.9% | 7.7% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 12.8% | 7.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 8.8% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 4.9% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Cimarrones | Acatlan |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 20% |
| Attack | 10% | 40% |
| Defense | 90% | 15% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 17 | 3.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
88%
FT probability
2.5+
62%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Cimarrones | Acatlan | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 6 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| Wins | 67% | 33% | 50% | 0% | 17% | 8% |
| Draws | 17% | 50% | 33% | 17% | 0% | 8% |
| Loses | 17% | 17% | 17% | 83% | 83% | 83% |
Form: Cimarrones: WWWDLWWLWDDD • Acatlan: DLLLLLLWLLLL
League goals
| Metric | Cimarrones | Acatlan | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 6 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 14 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 21 | 36 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 3.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Cimarrones | Acatlan | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 42% | 67% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 17% | 8% | 33% | 100% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 0% | 8% | 67% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 8% | 17% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 17% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Cimarrones | Acatlan | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Cimarrones | Acatlan |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Cimarrones | Acatlan |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 6 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-3 | — | 3-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 1-0 | 0-3 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Cimarrones | Acatlan |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 20% | 80% |
| Def | 89% | 11% |
| Poisson Distribution | 83% | 17% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 64.8% | 35.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Cimarrones or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Cimarrones = 2.76 (league 1.52), Acatlan = 0.55 (league 1.18)
| Acatlan | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Cimarrones | 0 | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 10.0% | 5.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.9% | 7.7% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 12.8% | 7.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 8.8% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 4.9% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 77.1% · Draw 11.7% · Away win 5.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1