Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 22:00 • Canchas Curiel
Second Half
Expected Goals
2.24 (league 1.51) 1.53 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.0% 20.2% 25.6%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.8%
1 - 1
7.9%
2 - 2
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
Leones Negros
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tritons Vallarta 0 2.3% 3.5% 2.7% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2%
1 5.1% 7.9% 6.0% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
2 5.8% 8.8% 6.8% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4%
3 4.3% 6.6% 5.1% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
4 2.4% 3.7% 2.8% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
5 1.1% 1.7% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTritons VallartaLeones Negros
Played55
Form40%80%
Attack37%63%
Defense47%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.412 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tritons Vallarta Leones Negros
HATHAT
Played75126612
Wins71%40%58%67%50%58%
Draws0%0%0%17%17%17%
Loses29%60%42%17%33%25%

Form: Tritons Vallarta: WWWWLLWWLWLL • Leones Negros: DLDWWLWWLWWW

League goals

Metric Tritons Vallarta Leones Negros
HATHAT
GF total1462091120
GF avg2.01.21.71.51.81.7
GA total7111851015
GA avg1.02.21.50.81.71.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTritons VallartaLeones Negros
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%58%75%75%
1.550%58%50%33%
2.525%25%25%8%
3.58%8%8%8%
4.58%0%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTritons VallartaLeones Negros
HATHAT
Clean sheets415213
Failed to score123123

Penalties

MetricTritons VallartaLeones Negros
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricTritons VallartaLeones Negros
Wins42
Draws01
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-23-04-5
Biggest losses0-34-10-22-1
Goals For5335
Goals Against3424

Model comparison

MetricTritons VallartaLeones Negros
Form33%67%
Att37%63%
Def41%59%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total45.0%55.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Leones Negros

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.40 @ 10Bet
Draw3.25 @ Bet365
Away2.85 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.02 @ Betano
Under 2.51.85 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Betano
No2.05 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tritons Vallarta = 2.24 (league 1.51), Leones Negros = 1.53 (league 1.17)

Leones Negros
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tritons Vallarta 0 2.3% 3.5% 2.7% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2%
1 5.1% 7.9% 6.0% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
2 5.8% 8.8% 6.8% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4%
3 4.3% 6.6% 5.1% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
4 2.4% 3.7% 2.8% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
5 1.1% 1.7% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.0% · Draw 20.2% · Away win 25.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1