Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 22:00 • Canchas Curiel
Second Half
Expected Goals
2.22 (league 1.53) 1.57 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.9% 20.3% 26.6%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.7%
1 - 1
7.9%
2 - 2
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
Leones Negros
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tritons Vallarta 0 2.2% 3.5% 2.8% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
1 5.0% 7.9% 6.2% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4%
2 5.6% 8.7% 6.9% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4%
3 4.1% 6.5% 5.1% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
4 2.3% 3.6% 2.8% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
5 1.0% 1.6% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTritons VallartaLeones Negros
Played55
Form40%80%
Attack37%63%
Defense47%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.412 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tritons Vallarta Leones Negros
HATHAT
Played75126612
Wins71%40%58%67%50%58%
Draws0%0%0%17%17%17%
Loses29%60%42%17%33%25%

Form: Tritons Vallarta: WWWWLLWWLWLL • Leones Negros: DLDWWLWWLWWW

League goals

Metric Tritons Vallarta Leones Negros
HATHAT
GF total1462091120
GF avg2.01.21.71.51.81.7
GA total7111851015
GA avg1.02.21.50.81.71.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTritons VallartaLeones Negros
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%58%75%75%
1.550%58%50%33%
2.525%25%25%8%
3.58%8%8%8%
4.58%0%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTritons VallartaLeones Negros
HATHAT
Clean sheets415213
Failed to score123123

Penalties

MetricTritons VallartaLeones Negros
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricTritons VallartaLeones Negros
Wins42
Draws01
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-23-04-5
Biggest losses0-34-10-22-1
Goals For5335
Goals Against3424

Model comparison

MetricTritons VallartaLeones Negros
Form33%67%
Att37%63%
Def41%59%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total45.0%55.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Leones Negros

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.40 @ 10Bet
Draw3.25 @ Bet365
Away2.85 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.02 @ Betano
Under 2.51.85 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Betano
No2.05 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tritons Vallarta = 2.22 (league 1.53), Leones Negros = 1.57 (league 1.14)

Leones Negros
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tritons Vallarta 0 2.2% 3.5% 2.8% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
1 5.0% 7.9% 6.2% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4%
2 5.6% 8.7% 6.9% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4%
3 4.1% 6.5% 5.1% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
4 2.3% 3.6% 2.8% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
5 1.0% 1.6% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.9% · Draw 20.3% · Away win 26.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1