Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 17:00 • Unidad Deportiva Minera Fresnillo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.59 (league 1.52) 4.34 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
1.6% 4.2% 67.3%
best score tips
0 - 4
10.7%
0 - 3
9.8%
0 - 5
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
Durango
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mineros de Fresnillo 0 0.7% 3.1% 6.8% 9.8% 10.7% 9.2%
1 0.4% 1.9% 4.0% 5.8% 6.3% 5.5%
2 0.1% 0.6% 1.2% 1.7% 1.9% 1.6%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMineros de FresnilloDurango
Played55
Form80%87%
Attack47%100%
Defense79%89%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.819 | 3.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

68%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mineros de Fresnillo Durango
HATHAT
Played66125712
Wins50%33%42%60%86%75%
Draws0%17%8%20%0%8%
Loses50%50%50%20%14%17%

Form: Mineros de Fresnillo: DLLLWLLWWLWW • Durango: WWLWWWLWWWWD

League goals

Metric Mineros de Fresnillo Durango
HATHAT
GF total9716142135
GF avg1.51.21.32.83.02.9
GA total1010206410
GA avg1.71.71.71.20.60.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMineros de FresnilloDurango
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%92%58%
1.542%58%75%17%
2.517%25%50%8%
3.50%8%42%0%
4.50%0%33%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMineros de FresnilloDurango
HATHAT
Clean sheets213145
Failed to score123011

Penalties

MetricMineros de FresnilloDurango
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total50

Streaks

MetricMineros de FresnilloDurango
Wins24
Draws10
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-02-35-00-5
Biggest losses1-43-01-31-0
Goals For3355
Goals Against4332

Model comparison

MetricMineros de FresnilloDurango
Form48%52%
Att32%68%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution12%88%
H2h29%71%
Goals38%62%
Total32.0%68.0%

Advice: Winner : Durango

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home6.03 @ 1xBet
Draw4.05 @ 188Bet
Away1.55 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.73 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.15 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.82 @ Unibet
No2.00 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Mineros de Fresnillo = 0.59 (league 1.52), Durango = 4.34 (league 1.18)

Durango
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mineros de Fresnillo 0 0.7% 3.1% 6.8% 9.8% 10.7% 9.2%
1 0.4% 1.9% 4.0% 5.8% 6.3% 5.5%
2 0.1% 0.6% 1.2% 1.7% 1.9% 1.6%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 1.6% · Draw 4.2% · Away win 67.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1