Sat, Jan 10 2026 • 03:00 •
Estadio Arena Cora
Expected Goals
1.26 (league 1.52)
1.90 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 25.1% | 22.3% | 51.0% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.1%
1 - 2
9.6%
0 - 1
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Leones Negros | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tigres de Alica | 0 | 4.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 5.3% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% | |
| 2 | 3.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Tigres de Alica | Leones Negros |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 60% |
| Attack | 85% | 69% |
| Defense | 54% | 38% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Tigres de Alica | Leones Negros | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 8 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
| Wins | 40% | 63% | 54% | 67% | 43% | 54% |
| Draws | 0% | 13% | 8% | 17% | 14% | 15% |
| Loses | 60% | 25% | 38% | 17% | 43% | 31% |
Form: Tigres de Alica: DWWLWLLLLWWWW • Leones Negros: DLDWWLWWLWWWL
League goals
| Metric | Tigres de Alica | Leones Negros | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 13 | 19 | 9 | 11 | 20 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 7 | 7 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 16 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Tigres de Alica | Leones Negros | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 85% | 77% | 69% | 77% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 31% | 46% | 31% |
| 2.5 | 15% | 0% | 23% | 8% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 0% | 8% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 8% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Tigres de Alica | Leones Negros | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Tigres de Alica | Leones Negros |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Tigres de Alica | Leones Negros |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | 1-4 | 3-0 | 4-5 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 2-1 | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Tigres de Alica | Leones Negros |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 55% | 45% |
| Def | 57% | 43% |
| Poisson Distribution | 41% | 59% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 51.7% | 48.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Leones Negros
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Tigres de Alica = 1.26 (league 1.52), Leones Negros = 1.90 (league 1.18)
| Leones Negros | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tigres de Alica | 0 | 4.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 5.3% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% | |
| 2 | 3.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.1% · Draw 22.3% · Away win 51.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1