Sat, Jan 17 2026 • 02:00 • Estadio Francisco Zarco
Not Started
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Expected Goals
2.22 (league 1.51) 1.74 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.5% 20.3% 29.8%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.2%
1 - 1
7.4%
2 - 2
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
Tecos
0 1 2 3 4 5
Durango 0 1.9% 3.3% 2.9% 1.7% 0.7% 0.3%
1 4.2% 7.4% 6.4% 3.7% 1.6% 0.6%
2 4.7% 8.2% 7.1% 4.1% 1.8% 0.6%
3 3.5% 6.0% 5.3% 3.0% 1.3% 0.5%
4 1.9% 3.4% 2.9% 1.7% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.9% 1.5% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDurangoTecos
Played55
Form87%60%
Attack100%100%
Defense70%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)16 | 3.211 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Durango Tecos
HATHAT
Played59148614
Wins60%89%79%75%67%71%
Draws20%0%7%13%0%7%
Loses20%11%14%13%33%21%

Form: Durango: WWLWWWLWWWWDWW • Tecos: WLWDWWWWWLWLWW

League goals

Metric Durango Tecos
HATHAT
GF total142842191029
GF avg2.83.13.02.41.72.1
GA total65118715
GA avg1.20.60.81.01.21.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDurangoTecos
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.593%57%93%71%
1.571%14%71%21%
2.550%7%36%7%
3.543%0%7%7%
4.536%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDurangoTecos
HATHAT
Clean sheets156314
Failed to score011011

Penalties

MetricDurangoTecos
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricDurangoTecos
Wins45
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-64-10-2
Biggest losses1-31-02-42-1
Goals For5643
Goals Against3242

Model comparison

MetricDurangoTecos
Form59%41%
Att59%41%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h38%62%
Goals36%64%
Total52.7%47.3%

Advice: Double chance : Durango or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.67 @ Betano
Draw4.00 @ Bet365
Away4.75 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.10 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Betfair
No2.05 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Durango = 2.22 (league 1.51), Tecos = 1.74 (league 1.17)

Tecos
0 1 2 3 4 5
Durango 0 1.9% 3.3% 2.9% 1.7% 0.7% 0.3%
1 4.2% 7.4% 6.4% 3.7% 1.6% 0.6%
2 4.7% 8.2% 7.1% 4.1% 1.8% 0.6%
3 3.5% 6.0% 5.3% 3.0% 1.3% 0.5%
4 1.9% 3.4% 2.9% 1.7% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.9% 1.5% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.5% · Draw 20.3% · Away win 29.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1