Sat, Jan 17 2026 • 02:00 •
Estadio Francisco Zarco
Expected Goals
2.18 (league 1.54)
1.77 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 45.3% | 20.4% | 30.9% |
best score tips
2 - 1
8.1%
1 - 1
7.4%
2 - 2
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Tecos | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Durango | 0 | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 4.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 4.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 3.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Durango | Tecos |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 60% |
| Attack | 100% | 100% |
| Defense | 70% | 40% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 16 | 3.2 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
70%
FT probability
3.5+
50%
FT probability
BTTS
80%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Durango | Tecos | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 9 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| Wins | 60% | 89% | 79% | 75% | 67% | 71% |
| Draws | 20% | 0% | 7% | 13% | 0% | 7% |
| Loses | 20% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 33% | 21% |
DurangoWWLWWWLWWWWDWW
TecosWLWDWWWWWLWLWW
League goals
| Metric | Durango | Tecos | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 28 | 42 | 19 | 10 | 29 |
| GF avg | 2.8 | 3.1 | 3.0 | 2.4 | 1.7 | 2.1 |
| GA total | 6 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Durango | Tecos | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 93% | 57% | 93% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 71% | 14% | 71% | 21% |
| 2.5 | 50% | 7% | 36% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 43% | 0% | 7% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 36% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Durango | Tecos | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Durango | Tecos |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Durango | Tecos |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 5 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 1-6 | 4-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 1-0 | 2-4 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 6 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Durango | Tecos |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 59% | 41% |
| Att | 59% | 41% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 57% | 43% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 36% | 64% |
| Total | 52.7% | 47.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.58 @ 188Bet
Draw4.75 @ Bet365
Away7.19 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.58 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.40 @ 10Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.73 @ William Hill
No2.10 @ Betfair
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League standings
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