Sat, Jan 17 2026 • 17:00 •
Estadio Club Deportivo Universidad de Guadalajara
Expected Goals
1.68 (league 1.51)
1.30 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 45.8% | 23.9% | 29.3% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.1%
2 - 1
9.3%
1 - 0
8.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Los Cabos United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Leones Negros | 0 | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 8.6% | 11.1% | 7.2% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 7.2% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 4.0% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Leones Negros | Los Cabos United |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 20% |
| Attack | 90% | 80% |
| Defense | 20% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
60%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
78%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Leones Negros | Los Cabos United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 8 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
| Wins | 67% | 38% | 50% | 83% | 43% | 62% |
| Draws | 17% | 13% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 17% | 50% | 36% | 17% | 57% | 38% |
Form: Leones Negros: DLDWWLWWLWWWLL • Los Cabos United: WWWWLWWWLLLWL
League goals
| Metric | Leones Negros | Los Cabos United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 11 | 20 | 13 | 13 | 26 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 5 | 12 | 17 | 7 | 12 | 19 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Leones Negros | Los Cabos United | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 64% | 79% | 92% | 85% |
| 1.5 | 43% | 29% | 62% | 31% |
| 2.5 | 21% | 7% | 23% | 23% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 7% | 15% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 7% | 0% | 8% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Leones Negros | Los Cabos United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Leones Negros | Los Cabos United |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Leones Negros | Los Cabos United |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 4-5 | 4-1 | 1-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-1 | 1-4 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Leones Negros | Los Cabos United |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75% | 25% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 57% | 43% |
| H2h | 40% | 60% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 57.5% | 42.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Leones Negros or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Leones Negros = 1.68 (league 1.51), Los Cabos United = 1.30 (league 1.17)
| Los Cabos United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Leones Negros | 0 | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 8.6% | 11.1% | 7.2% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 7.2% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 4.0% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.8% · Draw 23.9% · Away win 29.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1