Tue, Jan 20 2026 • 21:30 • Estadio Carlos Vega Villalba
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.46 (league 1.53) 2.10 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
6.8% 17.2% 73.9%
best score tips
0 - 2
17.1%
0 - 1
16.3%
0 - 3
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
Cimarrones
0 1 2 3 4 5
UA Zacatecas 0 7.8% 16.3% 17.1% 11.9% 6.3% 2.6%
1 3.6% 7.5% 7.8% 5.5% 2.9% 1.2%
2 0.8% 1.7% 1.8% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3%
3 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUA ZacatecasCimarrones
Played55
Form27%60%
Attack31%92%
Defense0%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.812 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric UA Zacatecas Cimarrones
HATHAT
Played76138614
Wins29%17%23%75%33%57%
Draws14%17%15%13%50%29%
Loses57%67%62%13%17%14%

Form: UA Zacatecas: LLDWWLLLLLWLD • Cimarrones: WWWDLWWLWDDDWW

League goals

Metric UA Zacatecas Cimarrones
HATHAT
GF total1051518624
GF avg1.40.81.22.31.01.7
GA total17926639
GA avg2.41.52.00.80.50.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUA ZacatecasCimarrones
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.554%77%79%50%
1.531%62%29%14%
2.523%31%29%0%
3.58%23%14%0%
4.50%8%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUA ZacatecasCimarrones
HATHAT
Clean sheets213437
Failed to score246123

Penalties

MetricUA ZacatecasCimarrones
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricUA ZacatecasCimarrones
Wins23
Draws13
Losses51

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-47-20-3
Biggest losses0-53-11-21-0
Goals For3473
Goals Against5321

Model comparison

MetricUA ZacatecasCimarrones
Form31%69%
Att25%75%
Def24%76%
Poisson Distribution19%81%
H2h13%88%
Goals14%86%
Total21.0%79.2%

Advice: Winner : Cimarrones

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home7.25 @ 10Bet
Draw4.60 @ Betfair
Away1.42 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.40 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.70 @ 10Bet
No2.02 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): UA Zacatecas = 0.46 (league 1.53), Cimarrones = 2.10 (league 1.14)

Cimarrones
0 1 2 3 4 5
UA Zacatecas 0 7.8% 16.3% 17.1% 11.9% 6.3% 2.6%
1 3.6% 7.5% 7.8% 5.5% 2.9% 1.2%
2 0.8% 1.7% 1.8% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3%
3 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 6.8% · Draw 17.2% · Away win 73.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1