Sun, Jan 18 2026 • 20:00 •
Estadio Municipal de Ensenada
Expected Goals
1.00 (league 1.52)
0.92 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 36.3% | 31.5% | 32.0% |
best score tips
1 - 0
14.6%
0 - 0
14.6%
1 - 1
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Mineros de Fresnillo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ensenada | 0 | 14.6% | 13.4% | 6.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.6% | 13.5% | 6.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.3% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ensenada | Mineros de Fresnillo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 60% |
| Attack | 46% | 69% |
| Defense | 0% | 23% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ensenada | Mineros de Fresnillo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 7 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| Wins | 43% | 43% | 43% | 50% | 33% | 43% |
| Draws | 14% | 14% | 14% | 0% | 17% | 7% |
| Loses | 43% | 43% | 43% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
Form: Ensenada: LWWDWWLLWLLWDL • Mineros de Fresnillo: DLLLWLLWWLWWLW
League goals
| Metric | Ensenada | Mineros de Fresnillo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 11 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 18 |
| GF avg | 0.9 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 6 | 15 | 21 | 16 | 10 | 26 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ensenada | Mineros de Fresnillo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 57% | 79% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 36% | 36% | 36% | 57% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 29% | 14% | 29% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 7% | 0% | 14% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 7% | 0% | 7% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ensenada | Mineros de Fresnillo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ensenada | Mineros de Fresnillo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ensenada | Mineros de Fresnillo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-3 | 3-0 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 7-2 | 1-6 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 7 | 6 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ensenada | Mineros de Fresnillo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 31% | 69% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 43% | 57% |
| Poisson Distribution | 54% | 46% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 42.0% | 58.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Ensenada or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Ensenada = 1.00 (league 1.52), Mineros de Fresnillo = 0.92 (league 1.17)
| Mineros de Fresnillo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ensenada | 0 | 14.6% | 13.4% | 6.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.6% | 13.5% | 6.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.3% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.3% · Draw 31.5% · Away win 32.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1